Skip to main content
FOLDAmicus Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.7·$14.49+0.21%
Open full analysis

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Amicus Therapeutics is a rare disease biotech with two approved products: Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease approved in 40+ countries generating $521.7 million in 2025, and Pombiliti plus Opfolda (cipaglucosidase alfa/miglustat) for late-onset Pompe disease generating... Read more

$14.49-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#38 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.05%
Stop $14.45Target $14.21(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$14.50+0.1%5 analysts
Range unavailable (5 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, May 4, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA112.0
Profit Mgn-4.3%
ROE-11.6%
Rev Growth23.7%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.41Resistance $14.50

Price Targets

$14
$14
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FOLD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.45. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FOLD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.21 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.45. Stop-loss: $14.45.

What are the risks of investing in FOLD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is FOLD overvalued or undervalued?

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOLD?

14 analysts cover FOLD with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. do?Amicus Therapeutics is a rare disease biotech with two approved products: Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease...

Amicus Therapeutics is a rare disease biotech with two approved products: Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease approved in 40+ countries generating $521.7 million in 2025, and Pombiliti plus Opfolda (cipaglucosidase alfa/miglustat) for late-onset Pompe disease generating $112.5 million in 2025. A definitive merger agreement with BioMarin at $14.50/share was signed December 19, 2025, expected to close Q2 2026.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · TGTX (TG Therapeutics, Inc.)
Home Stocks FOLD

Latest news

No recent news