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ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait6.6·$281.95-2.03%
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $292.53 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products include AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO (sold directly) plus Leqvio and Qfitlia (commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi). The company recognized $2.99... Read more

$281.95+45.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#7 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.53%
Entry $292.53(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $271.22Target $394.67(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$438.52+55.5%25 analysts
$394.67our TP
$281.95price
$438.52mean
$550

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $292.53 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.49, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals generated $2.99 billion in net product revenues in 2025 from four directly commercialized RNAi medicines — AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO — marking the company's first profitable fiscal year. AMVUTTRA received FDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy in March 2025, expanding its U.S. indication, with European Commission approval following in June 2025. Two additional products, Leqvio and Qfitlia, are commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi in markets now covering 108 countries for Leqvio.

Alnylam earns revenue from direct product sales through specialty distribution channels plus royalties and collaboration payments from Novartis (Leqvio), Sanofi (Qfitlia), Roche (zilebesiran), and Regeneron (cemdisiran). AMVUTTRA targets transthyretin protein synthesis via quarterly subcutaneous injection; coverage policies from Medicare, Medicaid, and private payors govern net realized pricing. The company relies on third-party contract manufacturers for commercial supply. The clinical pipeline adds potential upside: nucresiran entered Phase 3 trials TRITON-PN and TRITON-CM in 2025; zilebesiran entered the ZENITH Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial in September 2025 alongside Roche; mivelsiran reported Phase 1 data in early-onset Alzheimer's disease in July 2025. Regeneron plans a U.S. regulatory submission for cemdisiran in generalized myasthenia gravis in the first quarter of 2026.

Show full overview

Pricing pressure from the Inflation Reduction Act could weigh on future AMVUTTRA revenues as the U.S. government expands its list of drugs subject to Medicare price negotiation. The 10-K explicitly identifies 'most-favored nation pricing measures, measures requiring the U.S. government in the future to negotiate the prices of certain drugs' as risks affecting AMVUTTRA commercialization. ATTR cardiomyopathy is a prevalent adult condition with a large Medicare patient population, and Alnylam's stated dependence on AMVUTTRA as a 'significant portion' of net product revenues places a defined ceiling risk on the TTR franchise's long-term net pricing.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)72.5
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$38.4B
EV/EBITDA47.6
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE90.4%
Rev Growth96.4%
Beta0.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$700+148.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductAMVUTTRA
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our net product revenues was derived from the sale of our TTR products, and in particular AMVUTTRA'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Benjamin F. Cravatt, Ph.D. elected to the Board as Class III director effective June 1, 2026, filling a newly created vacancy; term expires at 2028 annual meeting. Annual cash retainer $75,000 plus stock options. Routine board expansion; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $276.94Resistance $310.53

Price Targets

$271
$293
$395
A.Upside+40.0%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.7%
Max %3.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALNY stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $292.53 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.49, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $394.67 (+40.0%), stop $271.22 (−4.0%), Setup A.R:R 6.5:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $394.67 (+45.5% upside). Target $394.67 (+40.0%), stop $271.22 (−4.0%), Setup A.R:R 6.5:1. Stop-loss: $271.22.

What are the risks of investing in ALNY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ALNY overvalued or undervalued?

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 72.5 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ALNY?

37 analysts cover ALNY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $439.

What does Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products...

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products include AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO (sold directly) plus Leqvio and Qfitlia (commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi). The company recognized $2.99 billion in net product revenues in 2025, its first profitable fiscal year, with AMVUTTRA as the dominant revenue driver following its FDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy in March 2025.

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · ARGX (argenx SE) · KRYS (Krystal Biotech, Inc.) · ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S)
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