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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $315.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: AMVUTTRA.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNAi therapeutics, with six approved medicines led by AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran, including cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025). The company generated .99 billion in net product revenues in 2025, its first profitable year;... Read more

$315.83+27.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#18 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $294.23Target $404.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$449.12+42.2%25 analysts
$404.21our TP
$315.83price
$449.12mean
$566

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $315.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: AMVUTTRA. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: AMVUTTRA
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)129.8
P/E (Fwd)21.4
Mkt Cap$40.2B
EV/EBITDA71.8
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE73.3%
Rev Growth84.9%
Beta0.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$240-24.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAMVUTTRA
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, a significant portion of our net product revenues was derived from the sale of our TTR products, and in particular AMVUTTRA for the treatment of ATTR-CM'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    On March 2, 2026, the Board granted a special equity award to CEO Yvonne Greenstreet under the 2018 Stock Incentive Plan, recognizing her leadership including ~100% stockholder return and the 2025 FDA approval of AMVUTTRA for TTR cardiomyopathy. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $287.00Resistance $343.36

Price Targets

$294
$404
A.Upside+28.0%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALNY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $315.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: AMVUTTRA. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $294.23. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $404.21 (+27.8% upside). Prior stop was $294.23. Stop-loss: $294.23.

What are the risks of investing in ALNY?

Concentration risk — Product: AMVUTTRA; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is ALNY overvalued or undervalued?

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 129.8 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALNY?

36 analysts cover ALNY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $449.

What does Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNAi therapeutics, with six approved medicines led by AMVUTTRA...

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNAi therapeutics, with six approved medicines led by AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran, including cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025). The company generated .99 billion in net product revenues in 2025, its first profitable year; royalties from Novartis's Leqvio and Sanofi's Qfitlia provide additional revenue under RNAi licenses.

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