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Fluor Corporation (FLR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.41: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Fluor is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments—Urban Solutions, Energy Solutions, and Mission Solutions (U.S. federal government)—serving energy, chemicals, infrastructure, data centers, life sciences, and national security markets. Revenue is... Read more

$53.41-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#28 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $50.05Target $52.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$53.50+0.2%8 analysts
$52.62our TP
$53.41price
$53.50mean
$40
$61

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.41: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA-24.5
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-1.7%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta1.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV71%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David E. Constable (Executive Chairman) will not stand for re-election at May 6, 2026 annual meeting and will retire. James T. Hackett (Lead Independent Director) appointed as Chair effective May 5, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02LOW
    Robert G. Card elected as new director effective March 4, 2026, filling newly created board seat. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee. No prior arrangement or family relationships cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOW
    James P. Elliott appointed Chief Accounting Officer effective February 4, 2026. Previously Corporate Controller since 2025; Director of Technical Accounting 2019-2025. No family relationships or arrangements cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.8
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
9.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.94Resistance $53.69

Price Targets

$50
$53
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.41: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $50.05. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.62 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $50.05. Stop-loss: $50.05.

What are the risks of investing in FLR?

Target reached (-12.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is FLR overvalued or undervalued?

Fluor Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLR?

14 analysts cover FLR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Fluor Corporation do?Fluor is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments—Urban Solutions, Energy Solutions, and Mission...

Fluor is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments—Urban Solutions, Energy Solutions, and Mission Solutions (U.S. federal government)—serving energy, chemicals, infrastructure, data centers, life sciences, and national security markets. Revenue is project-based under primarily reimbursable contracts; 81% of backlog is reimbursable as of December 31, 2025.

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