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Fluor Corporation (FLR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.35: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.16; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Fluor Corporation is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments: Urban Solutions (advanced manufacturing, life sciences, mining, infrastructure), Energy Solutions (oil and gas, LNG, chemicals, nuclear), and Mission Solutions (US government, DOE nuclear,... Read more

$44.35+20.8% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#30 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.57%
Stop $41.34Target $53.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$50.69+14.3%8 analysts
$53.56our TP
$44.35price
$50.69mean
$40
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.35: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.16; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Fluor Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA-10.4
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth-8.0%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.16bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. government agencies17%
    10-K Item 1: 'revenue earned from agencies of the U.S. government accounted for 17% of our total revenue'
  • LOWCustomersingle Urban Solutions customer15%
    10-K Item 1: 'revenue from a single Urban Solutions’ customer spanning multiple projects amounted to 15% of our revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOW
    Mark E. Fields (former Group President, Strategic Projects) entered consulting agreement at $670/hour for up to six months beginning April 27, 2026. No reason cited for prior departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Executive Chairman David Constable retiring at May 6, 2026 annual meeting; James T. Hackett (Lead Independent Director) appointed Board Chair effective May 5, 2026. Constable will consult one year at $525,200. Robert G. Card elected to Board effective March 4, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.5
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
8.9
Attractive P/E vs peers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.2
Roe
3.4
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
6.4
Fcf Quality
6.9
No competitive moat

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.62Resistance $54.65

Price Targets

$41
$54
A.Upside+20.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.35: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.16; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $41.34. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the FLR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.56 (+20.8% upside). Prior stop was $41.34. Stop-loss: $41.34.

What are the risks of investing in FLR?

Target reached (-0.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is FLR overvalued or undervalued?

Fluor Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLR?

13 analysts cover FLR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Fluor Corporation do?Fluor Corporation is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments: Urban Solutions (advanced...

Fluor Corporation is a global EPC and project management firm with three segments: Urban Solutions (advanced manufacturing, life sciences, mining, infrastructure), Energy Solutions (oil and gas, LNG, chemicals, nuclear), and Mission Solutions (US government, DOE nuclear, national security). Revenue is 81% reimbursable; US government agencies accounted for 17% of 2025 revenue.

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