Willdan Group has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with an average surprise of 68%, supporting a favorable risk-reward profile, though near-term momentum weakness and a technical death cross require caution before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
- Analyst Upside Target Gap→Stable
- Strong Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days
Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Willdan Group, Inc., a technical services company, focuses on the provision of energy and infrastructure solutions in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers in-depth energy planning... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Willdan Group, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Can Willdan (WLDN) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willdan Group to Acquire Mantis Intermediate Holdings - tipranks.com — tipranks.com Sep 23, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willdan Group to Acquire Mantis Intermediate Holdings - TipRanks — TipRanks Sep 23, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willdan to Acquire Mantis Intermediate Holdings for $285 Million in Cash - TradingView — TradingView Sep 23, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willdan to Acquire Mantis Intermediate Holdings for $285 Million in Cash - tradingview.com — tradingview.com Sep 23, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:29:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop 10 customers51%10-K Item 1: 'Our top 10 customers accounted for 50.7% of our consolidated contract revenues.'
- MEDIUMCustomerClark County School District and Southern California Edison27%10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal year 2025, we derived 27.4% of our Energy segment contract revenues from two customers, Clark County School District and Southern California Edison.'
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia44%10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal year 2025, services provided to clients in California, New York, and Nevada accounted for 43.5%, 19.0%, and 11.8% of our consolidated contract revenue, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-18Item 5.02LOWOn April 20, 2026, Willdan's Board approved amending and restating the 2008 Performance Incentive Plan, adding 380,000 shares (new aggregate limit 6,099,167) and extending its term to April 19, 2036, subject to and approved by stockholders at the June 17, 2026 annual meeting.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $116.88 (+62.3%), stop $68.09 (−5.8%), A.R:R 7.8:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $116.88 (+62.3% upside). Analyst target $116.88 (+62.3%), stop $68.09 (−5.8%), A.R:R 7.8:1. Stop-loss: $68.09.
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Willdan Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
9 analysts rate WLDN, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $138.
What does Willdan Group, Inc. do?Willdan Group, Inc., a technical services company, focuses on the provision of energy and infrastructure solutions in...
Willdan Group, Inc., a technical services company, focuses on the provision of energy and infrastructure solutions in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers in-depth energy planning studies, economic analysis, modeling and forecasting software, decarbonization, program design and implementation, energy efficiency, turnkey energy and infrastructure projects, grid modernization, and utility-scale electrical engineering and construction management services. It serves investor-owned and municipal utilities, as well as investors and hyperscalers, and state and local governments. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides municipal and civil engineering, building and safety, code enforcement, fire plan and inspection, city engineering, construction management, design engineering, planning, and financial and municipal advisory services. It serves state and local governments, school districts, and utility districts. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.