Willdan Group has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with an average surprise of 68%, supporting a favorable risk-reward profile, though near-term momentum weakness and a technical death cross require caution before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Consistency↑Improving
- Analyst Upside Target Gap→Stable
- Strong Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-24Recent Developments — Willdan Group, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Willdan (WLDN) Moves 8.7% Higher: Will This Strength Last? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS A Look At Willdan Group’s Valuation As It Wins NYC Accelerator Energy Efficiency Contract - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Willdan wins $27 million contract to redesign and implement New York City accelerator program - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Willdan Wins $27 Million Contract to Redesign and Implement New York City Accelerator Program - Business Wire — Business Wire positive
- NEWS Willdan Group, Inc. Wins $27 Million Contract to Redesign and Implement New York City Accelerator Program - marketscreen — marketscreener.com positive
Generated 2026-07-25T18:07:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop 10 customers51%10-K Item 1: 'Our top 10 customers accounted for 50.7% of our consolidated contract revenues.'
- MEDIUMCustomerClark County School District and Southern California Edison27%10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal year 2025, we derived 27.4% of our Energy segment contract revenues from two customers, Clark County School District and Southern California Edison.'
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia44%10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal year 2025, services provided to clients in California, New York, and Nevada accounted for 43.5%, 19.0%, and 11.8% of our consolidated contract revenue, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-18Item 5.02LOWOn April 20, 2026, Willdan's Board approved amending and restating the 2008 Performance Incentive Plan, adding 380,000 shares (new aggregate limit 6,099,167) and extending its term to April 19, 2036, subject to and approved by stockholders at the June 17, 2026 annual meeting.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $116.88 (+60.1%), stop $68.69 (−6.3%), A.R:R 7.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $116.88 (+59.3% upside). Target $116.88 (+60.1%), stop $68.69 (−6.3%), A.R:R 7.8:1. Stop-loss: $68.69.
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (50.7%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.54% of cap).
Willdan Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
9 analysts cover WLDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.
What does Willdan Group, Inc. do?Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through...
Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers comprehensive audit and surveys, program design and implementation, master planning, demand reduction, grid optimization, benchmarking analyses, design engineering, AI data center power solutions, construction management, performance contracting, installation, alternative financing, measurement and verification services, and software and data analytics, as well as energy consulting and engineering, turnkey facility and infrastructure projects, and customer support services. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides building and safety, city engineering and code enforcement, development review, disaster recovery, geotechnical, earthquake, planning and surveying, contract staff support, program and construction management, structures, transportation and traffic engineering, and water resources services. This segment also offers district administration, financial consulting, and federal compliance services. It serves investor and municipal owned energy utilities, public and governmental agencies, including cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, and universities; state and federal agencies; and commercial and industrial firms, as well as various other special districts and agencies. Willdan Group, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.