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WLDNWilldan Group, Inc.Sell5.3·$76.30-2.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Willdan Group has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with an average surprise of 68%, supporting a favorable risk-reward profile, though near-term momentum weakness and a technical death cross require caution before adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Analyst Upside Target GapStable
  • Strong Piotroski Financial HealthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy,... Read more

$76.30+53.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#20 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.20%
Stop $73.53Target $116.88(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$137.50+80.2%2 analysts
$116.88our TP
$76.30price
$137.50mean
$145

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 9, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 53%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.53% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE20.3%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 9, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
6.0
Value Rank
7.1
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5INSIDER 0.53%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
9 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $75.80Resistance $101.75

Price Targets

$74
$117
A.Upside+53.2%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.53%=extreme
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLDN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $76.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 9, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $73.53. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $116.88 (+53.2% upside). Prior stop was $73.53. Stop-loss: $73.53.

What are the risks of investing in WLDN?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.53% of cap).

Is WLDN overvalued or undervalued?

Willdan Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WLDN?

9 analysts cover WLDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.

What does Willdan Group, Inc. do?Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through...

Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers comprehensive audit and surveys, program design and implementation, master planning, demand reduction, grid optimization, benchmarking analyses, design engineering, AI data center power solutions, construction management, performance contracting, installation, alternative financing, measurement and verification services, and software and data analytics, as well as energy consulting and engineering, turnkey facility and infrastructure projects, and customer support services. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides building and safety, city engineering and code enforcement, development review, disaster recovery, geotechnical, earthquake, planning and surveying, contract staff support, program and construction management, structures, transportation and traffic engineering, and water resources services. This segment also offers district administration, financial consulting, and federal compliance services. It serves investor and municipal owned energy utilities, public and governmental agencies, including cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, and universities; state and federal agencies; and commercial and industrial firms, as well as various other special districts and agencies. Willdan Group, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.

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