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IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $639.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

IES Holdings designs and installs integrated electrical and technology systems across four segments: Communications (data centers, 33.8% of FY2025 revenues), Residential (single-family and multifamily housing, 38.7%), Infrastructure Solutions (electro-mechanical, 14.8%), and... Read more

$639.44+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.09%
Stop $594.68Target $686.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$700.00+9.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $639.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — IES Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 10.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.9
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA26.8
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE42.1%
Rev Growth16.8%
Beta1.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas and Florida
    10-K Item 1: 'the majority of our single-family revenues are derived from services provided in Texas and Florida'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.4
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $559.67Resistance $700.20

Price Targets

$595
$686
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IESC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $639.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $594.68. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the IESC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $686.20 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $594.68. Stop-loss: $594.68.

What are the risks of investing in IESC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 10.0): -1.5.

Is IESC overvalued or undervalued?

IES Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IESC?

7 analysts cover IESC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $700.

What does IES Holdings, Inc. do?IES Holdings designs and installs integrated electrical and technology systems across four segments: Communications...

IES Holdings designs and installs integrated electrical and technology systems across four segments: Communications (data centers, 33.8% of FY2025 revenues), Residential (single-family and multifamily housing, 38.7%), Infrastructure Solutions (electro-mechanical, 14.8%), and Commercial & Industrial (12.7%). The company generated $3.4B in revenues for fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, serving homebuilders, commercial developers, and data center operators. Tontine Associates owns approximately 54% of outstanding common stock.

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