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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $515.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away).

Sterling Infrastructure operates through E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions segments in the US, primarily in Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, Rocky Mountain regions and Pacific Islands. E-Infrastructure serves data centers, semiconductor fabs, and... Read more

$515.72-1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#23 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $479.88Target $509.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$509.80-1.1%5 analysts
$509.60our TP
$515.72price
$509.80mean
$482
$572

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $515.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.7% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.0
P/E (Fwd)29.5
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA29.3
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE32.0%
Rev Growth51.5%
Beta1.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$220-57.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of significant customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on a limited number of significant customers. Due to the size and nature of our contracts, one or a few customers have in the past and may in the future represent a substantial portion of our consolidated revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
4.1
Peg Ratio
4.1
Ps
6.4
Forward P/E: 29.5xPEG: 2.35

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.0
Gap
4.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $362.59Resistance $520.00

Price Targets

$480
$510
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $515.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $479.88. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STRL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $509.60 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $479.88. Stop-loss: $479.88.

What are the risks of investing in STRL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is STRL overvalued or undervalued?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.0 (forward 29.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STRL?

13 analysts cover STRL with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $510.

What does Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. do?Sterling Infrastructure operates through E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions segments in the US,...

Sterling Infrastructure operates through E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions segments in the US, primarily in Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, Rocky Mountain regions and Pacific Islands. E-Infrastructure serves data centers, semiconductor fabs, and power generation; Transportation covers highways and airports; Building Solutions provides residential concrete foundations. Revenue derives from fixed-unit price and lump-sum construction contracts.

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