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Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $146.26 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%).

Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025 revenues through E&M (77%) and Transmission & Distribution (23%) segments, serving commercial, industrial, utility, and renewables customers across the U.S. The top... Read more

$146.26+0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.21%
Stop $136.02Target $146.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$168.60+15.3%5 analysts
$146.68our TP
$146.26price
$168.60mean
$180

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $146.26 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Everus Construction Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.0
P/E (Fwd)30.4
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA23.8
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersingle largest customer (~17% of revenues)17%
    10-K Item 1: 'with the top 10 customers contributing approximately 43% of our total operating revenues of $3.75 billion, with a single customer accounting for approximately 17% of total operating revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers43%
    10-K Item 1: 'with the top 10 customers contributing approximately 43% of our total operating revenues of $3.75 billion, with a single customer accounting for approximately 17% of total operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Deloitte & Touche LLP dismissed as independent auditor effective February 25, 2026 upon completion of FY2025 audit. Dismissal approved by Audit Committee on January 14, 2026 following a comprehensive selection process. New auditor to be named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $131.51Resistance $171.58

Price Targets

$136
$147
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $146.26 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $136.02. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.68 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $136.02. Stop-loss: $136.02.

What are the risks of investing in ECG?

Concentration risk — Customer: single largest customer (~17% of revenues) (17.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ECG overvalued or undervalued?

Everus Construction Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 30.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ECG?

11 analysts cover ECG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $169.

What does Everus Construction Group, Inc. do?Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025...

Everus Construction Group is a specialty electrical and mechanical contracting company with $3.75 billion in 2025 revenues through E&M (77%) and Transmission & Distribution (23%) segments, serving commercial, industrial, utility, and renewables customers across the U.S. The top 10 customers contributed ~43% of revenues, with one customer accounting for ~17% of total operating revenues.

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