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ECGEverus Construction Group, Inc.Hold6.0·$152.37-2.30%
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Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: E&M segment (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Everus Construction Group provides specialty electrical, mechanical, and transmission/distribution contracting through E&M and T&D segments across most of the United States, generating $3.75 billion in total operating revenues in 2025. The company earns project-based revenue... Read more

$152.37+3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.10%
Stop $141.70Target $157.73(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$169.60+11.3%5 analysts
$157.73our TP
$152.37price
$169.60mean
$185

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: E&M segment (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: E&M segment (77.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.7
P/E (Fwd)30.5
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA25.0
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$210+37.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductE&M segment77%
    10-K Item 1: 'E&M segment revenues generated approximately 77% of total contract revenues with 7.5% segment operating income margin'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers43%
    10-K Item 1: 'the top 10 customers contributing approximately 43% of our total operating revenues of $3.75 billion'
  • LOWCustomersingle largest customer17%
    10-K Item 1: 'a single customer accounting for approximately 17% of total operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee approved dismissal of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor on January 14, 2026, effective February 25, 2026 upon completion of FY2025 audit. Amendment No. 1 to Jan 21, 2026 8-K. No disagreement with financial reporting cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $135.08Resistance $160.95

Price Targets

$142
$158
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: E&M segment (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $157.73 (+3.5%), stop $141.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $157.73 (+3.5% upside). Target $157.73 (+3.5%), stop $141.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $141.70.

What are the risks of investing in ECG?

Concentration risk — Product: E&M segment (77.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is ECG overvalued or undervalued?

Everus Construction Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.7 (forward 30.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ECG?

11 analysts cover ECG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $170.

What does Everus Construction Group, Inc. do?Everus Construction Group provides specialty electrical, mechanical, and transmission/distribution contracting through...

Everus Construction Group provides specialty electrical, mechanical, and transmission/distribution contracting through E&M and T&D segments across most of the United States, generating $3.75 billion in total operating revenues in 2025. The company earns project-based revenue under fixed-price, cost-reimbursable, and unit-price contracts, serving roughly 4,000 customers annually; E&M drove 77% of contract revenues with T&D at 23%. Approximately 9,400 employees were on staff at December 31, 2025.

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