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CDLRCadeler A/SSell5.8·$25.84
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue growth of 90% year-over-year, operating margins of 40% that rank best-in-class relative to peers, and a favorable risk/reward of approximately 4.6-to-1 with 27% upside to the analyst target make this a compelling growth setup; the primary risk is deeply negative free cash flow at -204% of net income, which signals that reported earnings are not yet converting into cash and that the balance sheet could require external capital if the growth investment phase is prolonged.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin Profile↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation And Upside→Stable
  • High Growth Revenue Inflection→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cadeler A/S (CDLR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. At $25.84, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan. The company engages in the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine... Read more

$25.84+11.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#17 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-14.78%
Stop $24.03Analyst target $28.90(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$34.00+31.6%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. At $25.84, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 26, 2026

Recent Developments — Cadeler A/S

Latest item Aug 26, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:07Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 59%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth21.3%
Beta0.72
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.8
Strong growth: 21% YoY
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.83Resistance $32.81

Price Targets

$24
$29
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDLR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.84, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $24.03. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDLR stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.90 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $24.03. Stop-loss: $24.03.

What are the risks of investing in CDLR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is CDLR overvalued or undervalued?

Cadeler A/S trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CDLR?

15 analysts rate CDLR, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $34.

What does Cadeler A/S do?Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark,...

Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan. The company engages in the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine generators, foundations, and topsides and substations; maintenance of offshore wind turbine generators, and offshore structures and platforms; and offshore construction within the renewable space. It is also involved offshore decommissioning within the renewable space; salvage assistance; and heavy lift and project cargo. In addition, the company owns and operates ten offshore jack-up windfarm installation vessels. Further, it also provides hydraulic pile driving solutions. Cadeler A/S was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Related stocks: IESC (IES Holdings, Inc.) · AGX (Argan, Inc.) · STRL (Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.) · CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group I) · ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.)
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