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Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$15.40+1.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#8 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
Stop $14.30Target $15.63(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$15.05-2.3%4 analysts
$15.63our TP
$15.40price
$15.05mean
$10
$20

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.8
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE
Rev Growth-7.5%
Beta1.38
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$1-93.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.6
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend
10.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 5 daysDividend: 229.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.86Resistance $15.95

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.30. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.63 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.30. Stop-loss: $14.30.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBI?

12 analysts cover PBI with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

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