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PBIPitney Bowes Inc.Sell6.0·$16.38
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pitney Bowes has seen earnings estimates rise 42% in the past 30 days — the strongest positive revision signal in the dataset — and converts 152% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock is already at its analyst target with no upside remaining and near a 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Estimate Revision Acceleration↑Improving
  • Superior Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Target Exhaustion At 52w High↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. At $16.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$16.38+3.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 13 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.43%
IncomeYield2.46%(5y avg 3.88%)Payout29.27%sustainable
Stop $15.66Target $17.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$19.56+19.4%5 analysts
$17.02our TP
$16.38price
$19.56mean
$22

Sell if holding. At $16.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.9%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Insider selling

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth-2.3%
Beta1.63
Dividend2.46%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV65%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS Appointment of Director On July 21, 2026, Pitney Bowes Inc. (the "Company") appointed La Vonda Williams to its Board of Directors ("the Board"). Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.44%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.14Resistance $17.72

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.44%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $16.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.66. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.02 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $15.66. Stop-loss: $15.66.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Insider selling.

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBI?

9 analysts cover PBI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

Related stocks: RLGT (Radiant Logistics, Inc.) · JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I) · CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.) · FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) · LSTR (Landstar System, Inc.)
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