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PBIPitney Bowes Inc.Sell5.7·$16.01
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pitney Bowes has seen earnings estimates rise 42% in the past 30 days — the strongest positive revision signal in the dataset — and converts 152% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock is already at its analyst target with no upside remaining and near a 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Estimate Revision Acceleration↑Improving
  • Superior Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Target Exhaustion At 52w High↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. At $16.01, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$16.01+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 12 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield16.94%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 3.29%)Payout29.23%sustainable
Stop $14.94Analyst target $17.16(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$19.72+23.2%5 analysts with price targets
$17.16Analyst target
$16.01price
$19.72mean
$22

Sell if holding. At $16.01, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Pitney Bowes Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 16, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 51%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.73
Dividend2.50%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.45%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.40Resistance $17.61

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-16 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $16.01, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.94. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Analyst target: $17.16 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $14.94. Stop-loss: $14.94.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBI?

9 analysts rate PBI, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $20.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

Related stocks: RLGT (Radiant Logistics, Inc.) · FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) · LSTR (Landstar System, Inc.) · CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.) · JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I)
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