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PBIPitney Bowes Inc.Sell5.6·$16.75
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pitney Bowes has seen earnings estimates rise 42% in the past 30 days — the strongest positive revision signal in the dataset — and converts 152% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock is already at its analyst target with no upside remaining and near a 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Estimate Revision Acceleration→Stable
  • Superior Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Target Exhaustion At 52w High→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.75 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$16.75+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 12 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.03%
IncomeYield2.35%(5y avg 3.30%)Payout29.27%sustainable
Stop $15.89Target $17.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$19.56+16.8%5 analysts
$17.02our TP
$16.75price
$19.56mean
$22

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.75 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Insider selling

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth-2.3%
Beta1.65
Dividend2.35%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV67%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS Appointment of Director On July 21, 2026, Pitney Bowes Inc. (the "Company") appointed La Vonda Williams to its Board of Directors ("the Board"). Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.11%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.89Resistance $17.46

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.75 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.89. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.02 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.89. Stop-loss: $15.89.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Insider selling.

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBI?

9 analysts cover PBI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

Related stocks: JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I) · RLGT (Radiant Logistics, Inc.) · FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) · CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.) · LSTR (Landstar System, Inc.)
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