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ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.Sell4.7·$20.32
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Ethan Allen combines a cheap forward multiple and a consistent earnings-beat streak with an imminent catalyst, but a confirmed technical downtrend, a death-cross hard block, and elevated short interest keep the setup on the defensive.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Catalyst→Stable
  • Cheap Forward Multiple↑Improving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Momentum Failure↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Ethan Allen is a vertically integrated interior design company, manufacturer and retailer of home furnishings, selling through design centers and wholesale. It manufactures about 75% of its furniture in North American plants and outsources the remaining 25%, mainly from Asia; no... Read more

$20.32-8.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.22%
IncomeYield7.48%(5y avg 5.10%)Payout100.00%at-risk
Stop $19.57Target $21.72(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$22.00+8.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and no CEO selling. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

About Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

Ethan Allen Interiors operated 142 company-run design centers — 137 in the U.S. and five in Canada — plus 45 independently operated locations across the U.S., Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, split between wholesale and retail reporting segments as of June 30, 2025. The company manufactured approximately 75% of its furniture in eleven North American plants and imported the remaining 25%, primarily from Asia, while its 3,211 employees split roughly 70% wholesale and 30% retail.

Ethan Allen earns revenue through two segments: wholesale, which manufactures and sells to its own retail network as well as to independent retailers and other third parties (including the U.S. government's GSA Multiple Award Schedule Contracts), and retail, its 142 company-operated design centers. No single client exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025, though the ten largest wholesale clients combined for 11%, down from 13% a year earlier. The company sources raw materials — lumber, veneers, fabrics, leather, foam, and steel — from both domestic and foreign suppliers without long-term contracts, and management states it does not depend on any one supplier. Products distribute through three Company-owned national distribution centers in North Carolina and Virginia, supported by 17 company-operated and five third-party retail home delivery centers. Historically, no single fiscal quarter has contributed more than 28% of annual net sales, limiting the business's seasonal swing.

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Ethan Allen's real-estate footprint carries a specific balance-sheet exposure: of its 142 company-operated design centers, it owns 48 and leases 94, with $109.2 million in unamortized right-of-use assets tied to those leased design centers and delivery centers as of June 30, 2025. The 10-K warns that closing or abandoning a leased location in a weak commercial real-estate market could force an impairment charge if the location's fair value falls below its carrying value — a risk layered on top of the 2025 U.S. tariff actions the company says could raise costs on the roughly 25% of finished goods it imports and on components sourced from its Mexico and Honduras plants.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$513M
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth-8.5%
Beta1.05
Dividend7.48%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV298%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.4
Earnings Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -8%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVECEO activity: Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.18Resistance $22.16

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside-8.0%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.57. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the ETD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.72 (-8.0% upside). Prior stop was $19.57. Stop-loss: $19.57.

What are the risks of investing in ETD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ETD overvalued or undervalued?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETD?

9 analysts cover ETD with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. do?Ethan Allen is a vertically integrated interior design company, manufacturer and retailer of home furnishings, selling...

Ethan Allen is a vertically integrated interior design company, manufacturer and retailer of home furnishings, selling through design centers and wholesale. It manufactures about 75% of its furniture in North American plants and outsources the remaining 25%, mainly from Asia; no single client exceeded 10% of fiscal 2025 net sales.

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