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HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CSell6.2·$31.00-2.05%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HBB has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of its last 4 quarters and screens cheap on trailing multiples, but the engine flags a cyclical-trap valuation gap and an expected earnings decline off a cyclical peak, alongside a failed momentum gate, exhausted upside to target, and a recent insider sale.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Cheap Valuation Cyclical Trap RiskDeteriorating
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak Decline RiskDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C (HBB) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.00: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Hamilton Beach Brands Holding is a designer, marketer, and distributor of branded small electric household and specialty housewares appliances, commercial foodservice equipment, and connected health-management devices, operating through two segments: Home and Commercial Products... Read more

$31.00+7.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 14 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield13.22%
IncomeYield1.58%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout11.44%sustainable
Stop $29.28Target $33.44(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.00: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06

Recent Developments — Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C

Generated 2026-09-06T21:21:54Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.3
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$417M
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE30.2%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.29
Dividend1.58%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV90%elevated
Max Pain$35+12.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.19Resistance $34.12

Price Targets

$29
$33
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 19x vs trail 7x (2.6x)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $31.00: Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.28. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HBB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.44 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $29.28. Stop-loss: $29.28.

What are the risks of investing in HBB?

Earnings expected to decline ~62% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is HBB overvalued or undervalued?

Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C trades at a P/E of 7.3 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HBB?

8 analysts cover HBB with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C do?Hamilton Beach Brands Holding is a designer, marketer, and distributor of branded small electric household and...

Hamilton Beach Brands Holding is a designer, marketer, and distributor of branded small electric household and specialty housewares appliances, commercial foodservice equipment, and connected health-management devices, operating through two segments: Home and Commercial Products and Health. Walmart and Amazon.com accounted for approximately 29% and 19% of the company's revenue in fiscal 2025, respectively, and its five largest customers together made up about 62% of revenue. The company sourced from roughly 70 suppliers in fiscal 2025 -- about two-thirds of its finished products from China --

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