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Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $388.70: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering commercial, Medicare and Medicaid health plans primarily under Anthem Blue Cross/Blue Shield brands across 14+ states, plus pharmacy services through CarelonRx.... Read more

$388.70-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#8 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.02%
IncomeYield1.75%(5y avg 1.34%)Payout29.03%sustainable
Stop $375.01Target $393.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$388.95+0.1%21 analysts
$393.11our TP
$388.70price
$388.95mean
$331
$474

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $388.70: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Elevance Health, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$85.6B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta0.67
Dividend1.75%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$140-64.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
1.2
Net Margin
1.3
Operating Margin
2.1
Roa
2.7
Roe
4.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Fcf Quality
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $325.34Resistance $401.13

Price Targets

$375
$393
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $388.70: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $375.01. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $393.11 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $375.01. Stop-loss: $375.01.

What are the risks of investing in ELV?

Target reached (-11.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ELV overvalued or undervalued?

Elevance Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELV?

29 analysts cover ELV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $389.

What does Elevance Health, Inc. do?Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering...

Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering commercial, Medicare and Medicaid health plans primarily under Anthem Blue Cross/Blue Shield brands across 14+ states, plus pharmacy services through CarelonRx. Medicaid represents 45.8% of revenue and U.S. government agencies collectively account for approximately 32% of total consolidated revenues.

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