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EEExcelerate Energy, Inc.Sell6.4·$32.12+0.88%
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Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating LNG regasification terminals and one onshore terminal globally, providing regasification services and LNG/gas/power sales under long-term take-or-pay contracts in 10 countries. As of December 31, 2025, minimum contracted cash flows... Read more

$32.12+13.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#11 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.73%
IncomeYield1.01%Payout25.21%sustainable
Stop $30.58Target $36.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$41.71+29.9%12 analysts
$36.29our TP
$32.12price
$41.71mean
$48

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth37.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomercustomers exceeding 10% of revenues
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025 and 2024, we had three and two customers, respectively, that, at times, accounted for over 10% of our revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.3
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 18)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 101.0%
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.53Resistance $36.91

Price Targets

$31
$36
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.58. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the EE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.29 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $30.58. Stop-loss: $30.58.

What are the risks of investing in EE?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is EE overvalued or undervalued?

Excelerate Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EE?

20 analysts cover EE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Excelerate Energy, Inc. do?Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating LNG regasification terminals and one onshore terminal globally,...

Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating LNG regasification terminals and one onshore terminal globally, providing regasification services and LNG/gas/power sales under long-term take-or-pay contracts in 10 countries. As of December 31, 2025, minimum contracted cash flows totaled $3.3B for terminal services (5.8-year weighted avg term) and $17B for LNG/gas/power contracts (9.3-year avg term).

Related stocks: DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · FRO (Frontline Plc)
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