Skip to main content
TENTsakos Energy Navigation LtdBuy Wait7.2·$46.23
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tsakos Energy Navigation earns a composite score of 7.3 out of 10, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.3 times, and generates strong margins of 25% — but forward earnings are projected to decline 52% from the current trailing level as the tanker cycle peaks, and the put-to-call ratio of 27.4 is extremely elevated.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Beat At Value↑Improving
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio Warning↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $44.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $46.23. Engine's entry $44.91 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG... Read more

$46.23-15.4% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#4 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.26%(5y avg 3.37%)Payout16.21%sustainable
Entry $44.91(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $40.59Target $52.76(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$46.00-0.5%2 analysts
$52.76our TP
$46.23price
$46.00mean
$42
$53

Wait for pullback to $44.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $46.23. Engine's entry $44.91 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-15.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn33.8%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth54.4%
Beta-0.25
Dividend4.26%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.00Resistance $53.84

Price Targets

$41
$45
$53
A.Upside-15.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 16x vs trail 5x (3.4x)
! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $44.91. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $46.23. Engine's entry $44.91 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-15.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $52.76 (+14.1%), stop $40.59 (−13.9%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

What is the TEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.76 (-15.4% upside). Target $52.76 (+14.1%), stop $40.59 (−13.9%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $40.59.

What are the risks of investing in TEN?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEN?

8 analysts cover TEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd do?Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product...

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG carrier, and shuttle DP2 tankers. It also provides marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.)
Home › Stocks › TEN

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus30d ago
24/7 Wall St.31d ago
Seeking Alpha31d ago
GuruFocus3d ago
AD HOC NEWS3d ago
Investing.com73d ago
Investing.com UK73d ago
Investing.com South Africa17d agoEarnings
24/7 Wall St.123d ago
Investing.com32d agoEarnings
Saxo4d ago
Investing.com Canada74d ago
Marketscreener.com74d ago
Yahoo Finance137d ago
Investing.com116d ago
Marketscreener.com25d agoProduct
Investing.com India25d ago
Investing.com Nigeria25d agoProduct
Ca.finance.yahoo.com25d ago
247wallst.com25d ago
Loading more...