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TENTsakos Energy Navigation LtdHold7.1·$46.80
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tsakos Energy Navigation earns a composite score of 7.3 out of 10, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.3 times, and generates strong margins of 25% — but forward earnings are projected to decline 52% from the current trailing level as the tanker cycle peaks, and the put-to-call ratio of 27.4 is extremely elevated.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Beat At Value→Stable
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio Warning↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG... Read more

$46.80+13.5% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#8 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.89%
IncomeYield4.27%(5y avg 2.01%)Payout16.21%sustainable
Stop $45.12Analyst target $53.13(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst consensus$62.50+33.5%2 analysts with price targets
$53.13Analyst target
$46.80price
$62.50mean
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.07% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)3.9
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn33.8%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth54.4%
Beta-0.06
Dividend4.27%
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.80bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.52Resistance $56.73

Price Targets

$45
$53
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $53.13 (+13.5%), stop $45.12 (−3.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the TEN stock price target?

Analyst target: $53.13 (+13.5% upside). Analyst target $53.13 (+13.5%), stop $45.12 (−3.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $45.12.

What are the risks of investing in TEN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.07% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 3.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEN?

8 analysts rate TEN, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $63.

What does Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd do?Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product...

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG carrier, and shuttle DP2 tankers. It also provides marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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