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TENTsakos Energy Navigation LtdBuy Wait7.5·$51.48
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tsakos Energy Navigation earns a composite score of 7.3 out of 10, has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 13.3 times, and generates strong margins of 25% — but forward earnings are projected to decline 52% from the current trailing level as the tanker cycle peaks, and the put-to-call ratio of 27.4 is extremely elevated.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Beat At Value→Stable
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio Warning↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $49.11. BUY gates pass at $51.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $49.11 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG... Read more

$51.48-0.9% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 44 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.55%(5y avg 2.01%)Payout16.21%sustainable
Entry $49.11(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $45.67Target $55.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$60.00+16.6%2 analysts
$55.60our TP
$51.48price
$60.00mean
$70

Wait for pullback to $49.11. BUY gates pass at $51.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $49.11 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.4
P/E (Fwd)5.5
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn33.8%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth54.4%
Beta-0.09
Dividend3.55%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.11bearish
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.50Resistance $56.73

Price Targets

$46
$49
$56
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $49.11. BUY gates pass at $51.48, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $49.11 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $55.60 (+8.0%), stop $45.67 (−12.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the TEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.60 (-0.9% upside). Target $55.60 (+8.0%), stop $45.67 (−12.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $45.67.

What are the risks of investing in TEN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd trades at a P/E of 5.4 (forward 5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEN?

8 analysts cover TEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd do?Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product...

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG carrier, and shuttle DP2 tankers. It also provides marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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