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TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.Buy Wait7.4·$88.88
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Teekay Tankers combines strong valuation metrics — forward price-to-earnings of 9.4x and a PEG of 0.09 — with 24% year-over-year earnings growth and best-in-class margins of 43%, placing it among the top-ranked peers on both value and quality dimensions. The primary constraint is that the stock has already reached analyst price targets, leaving minimal near-term upside despite an otherwise compelling fundamental profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth And Margins→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation With Low Peg↑Improving
  • Strong Piotroski And Earnings Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $79.05. At $88.88 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.05 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship... Read more

$88.88+7.1% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#3 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.41%
IncomeYield1.13%(5y avg 4.64%)Payout5.89%sustainable
Entry $79.05(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $73.52Target $95.18(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$109.40+23.1%5 analysts with price targets
$95.18our TP
$88.88price
$109.40mean
$78
$130

Wait for pullback to $79.05. At $88.88 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.05 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 4.5 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.8x at spot < 1.5 minimum; Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 1/10). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Teekay Tankers Ltd.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.2
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA3.7
Profit Mgn51.3%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth63.0%
Beta-0.11
Dividend1.13%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C7.22bearish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Energy 1/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.76Resistance $110.65

Price Targets

$74
$79
$95
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 4.5 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 0.8x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $79.05. At $88.88 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $79.05 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 4.5 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 0.8x at spot < 1.5 minimum; Earnings in 6 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Target $95.18 (+7.1%), stop $73.52 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

What is the TNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.18 (+7.1% upside). Target $95.18 (+7.1%), stop $73.52 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $73.52.

What are the risks of investing in TNK?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is TNK overvalued or undervalued?

Teekay Tankers Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.2 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TNK?

11 analysts rate TNK, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $109.

What does Teekay Tankers Ltd. do?Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in...

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship transfer of commodities primarily crude oil and refined oil products; and tanker commercial and technical management services. In addition, the company is involved in the vessels management, procurement, and equipment rental businesses. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd.)
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