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TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.Buy Wait7.0·$94.07
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Teekay Tankers combines strong valuation metrics — forward price-to-earnings of 9.4x and a PEG of 0.09 — with 24% year-over-year earnings growth and best-in-class margins of 43%, placing it among the top-ranked peers on both value and quality dimensions. The primary constraint is that the stock has already reached analyst price targets, leaving minimal near-term upside despite an otherwise compelling fundamental profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth And Margins→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation With Low Peg→Stable
  • Strong Piotroski And Earnings Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $84.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $94.07. Engine's entry $84.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship... Read more

$94.07-13.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#7 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.00%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 6.34%)Payout5.89%sustainable
Entry $84.79(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $77.60Target $101.10(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$93.80-0.3%5 analysts
$101.10our TP
$94.07price
$93.80mean
$78
$115

Wait for pullback to $84.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $94.07. Engine's entry $84.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-13.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.5
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn51.3%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth63.0%
Beta-0.22
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C2.14bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.78Resistance $103.16

Price Targets

$78
$85
$101
A.Upside-13.2%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.2% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $84.79. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $94.07. Engine's entry $84.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-13.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $101.10 (+7.5%), stop $77.60 (−21.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 7.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.10 (-13.2% upside). Target $101.10 (+7.5%), stop $77.60 (−21.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $77.60.

What are the risks of investing in TNK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is TNK overvalued or undervalued?

Teekay Tankers Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.5 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TNK?

11 analysts cover TNK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Teekay Tankers Ltd. do?Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in...

Teekay Tankers Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Tankers and Marine Servies. It offers voyage and time charter services; offshore ship-to-ship transfer of commodities primarily crude oil and refined oil products; and tanker commercial and technical management services. In addition, the company is involved in the vessels management, procurement, and equipment rental businesses. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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