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Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-5.0% away).

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates twenty-five very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in... Read more

$45.51-1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#5 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.61%
IncomeYield6.97%Payout86.57%at-risk
Stop $42.22Target $44.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$41.00-9.9%5 analysts
$44.70our TP
$45.51price
$41.00mean
$36

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Dorian LPG Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-5.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth47.2%
Beta0.76
Dividend6.97%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
3.0
52w Position
9.8
Extreme gap up (7.8%) - may pull back

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.5
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
88 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.46Resistance $45.61

Price Targets

$42
$45
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LPG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $42.22. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the LPG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.70 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $42.22. Stop-loss: $42.22.

What are the risks of investing in LPG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-5.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is LPG overvalued or undervalued?

Dorian LPG Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LPG?

11 analysts cover LPG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Dorian LPG Ltd. do?Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its...

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates twenty-five very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

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