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Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates twenty-five very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in... Read more

$38.23+1.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $35.58Target $38.66(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$37.60-1.6%5 analysts
$38.66our TP
$38.23price
$37.60mean
$28
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth47.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend6.32%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
2.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend
10.0
Estimates down -5.6% (30d)Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 632.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.27Resistance $39.45

Price Targets

$36
$39
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LPG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $38.66 (+1.1%), stop $35.58 (−7.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LPG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.66 (+1.0% upside). Target $38.66 (+1.1%), stop $35.58 (−7.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $35.58.

What are the risks of investing in LPG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is LPG overvalued or undervalued?

Dorian LPG Ltd. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LPG?

9 analysts cover LPG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Dorian LPG Ltd. do?Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its...

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates twenty-five very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

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