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DHTDHT Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait7.4·$22.05
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

DHT Holdings is a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat, net margins of approximately 50%, return on equity of 29%, and 78% year-over-year revenue growth, but the stock has moved past its take-profit target and free cash flow is actually negative—running at roughly negative 50% of net income—flagging an earnings quality concern that is compounded by analyst estimates already trending lower.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat And Strong Margins→Stable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $21.02. At $22.05 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.0%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore, Norway, and India. The company also offers technical management services. As of December 15, 2025, it had a fleet of 22 very large crude carriers. The company was... Read more

$22.05+8.0% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#2 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.94%
IncomeYield22.13%(5y avg 3.71%)Payout50.00%sustainable
Entry $21.02(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $19.55Target $23.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$27.37+24.1%6 analysts with price targets
$23.81our TP
$22.05price
$27.37mean
$30

Wait for pullback to $21.02. At $22.05 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.0%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — DHT Holdings, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.0%
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.5
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn59.3%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth95.5%
Beta-0.09
Dividend22.13%
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dINSIDER 0.33%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.93Resistance $26.91

Price Targets

$20
$21
$24
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $21.02. At $22.05 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.0%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $23.81 (+8.0%), stop $19.55 (−12.8%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 7.4/10, high confidence.

What is the DHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.81 (+8.0% upside). Target $23.81 (+8.0%), stop $19.55 (−12.8%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $19.55.

What are the risks of investing in DHT?

Thin upside margin: 8.0%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is DHT overvalued or undervalued?

DHT Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DHT?

12 analysts rate DHT, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $27.

What does DHT Holdings, Inc. do?DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore,...

DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore, Norway, and India. The company also offers technical management services. As of December 15, 2025, it had a fleet of 22 very large crude carriers. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd.)
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