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DHTDHT Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait7.3·$21.78
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

DHT Holdings is a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat, net margins of approximately 50%, return on equity of 29%, and 78% year-over-year revenue growth, but the stock has moved past its take-profit target and free cash flow is actually negative—running at roughly negative 50% of net income—flagging an earnings quality concern that is compounded by analyst estimates already trending lower.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat And Strong Margins→Stable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $18.62. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $21.78. Engine's entry $18.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.34% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore, Norway, and India. The company also offers technical management services. As of December 15, 2025, it had a fleet of 22 very large crude carriers. The company was... Read more

$21.78-12.7% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#2 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.95%
IncomeYield22.41%(5y avg 6.42%)Payout50.00%sustainable
Entry $18.62(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $16.97Target $23.09(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$21.85+0.3%6 analysts
$23.09our TP
$21.78price
$21.85mean
$19
$28

Wait for pullback to $18.62. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $21.78. Engine's entry $18.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.34% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.04, quality 8.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.34% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.4
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn59.3%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth95.5%
Beta-0.12
Dividend22.41%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.34%=MODERATEMomentum 4.5>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.40Resistance $23.56

Price Targets

$17
$19
$23
A.Upside-12.7%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DHT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.62. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $21.78. Engine's entry $18.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.34% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.04, quality 8.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $23.09 (+6.0%), stop $16.97 (−28.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

What is the DHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.09 (-12.7% upside). Target $23.09 (+6.0%), stop $16.97 (−28.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $16.97.

What are the risks of investing in DHT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.34% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is DHT overvalued or undervalued?

DHT Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DHT?

12 analysts cover DHT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $22.

What does DHT Holdings, Inc. do?DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore,...

DHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore, Norway, and India. The company also offers technical management services. As of December 15, 2025, it had a fleet of 22 very large crude carriers. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TK (Teekay Corporation Ltd.)
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