Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ECVT stock price target?

Take-profit $14.14 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.30.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ECVT?

Target reached (-8.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -6.4%), Negative free cash flow; Target reached (-8.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is ECVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ecovyst Inc. trades at a P/E of 279.4 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ECVT?

11 analysts cover ECVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$14.10+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 36 Specialty Chemicals

Stop $13.30Target $14.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1

Analyst target$14.80+5.0%5 analysts

$14.14our TP

$14.10price

$14.80mean

$13

$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-8.8% upside)

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -6.4%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)279.4

P/E (Fwd)18.4

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA11.6

Profit Mgn-9.8%

ROE1.0%

Rev Growth34.0%

Beta1.01

DividendNone

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish

IV99%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.015%1.05

Quality3.815%0.57

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum3.710%0.37

Sentiment5.910%0.59

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup4.85%0.24

Risk Profile6.75%0.34

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.89

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

2.3

Quality Rank

2.8

Growth Rank

9.4

Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

2.9

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin

0.0

Roe

0.3

Gross Margin

0.4

Roa

2.0

Operating Margin

5.0

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

8.9

Piotroski F

8.9

No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

53 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.73Resistance $14.43

Price Targets

$13

$14

A.Upside+0.3%

A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -6.4%), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ECVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.30. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.14 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.30. Stop-loss: $13.30.

What are the risks of investing in ECVT?

Target reached (-8.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -6.4%), Negative free cash flow.

Is ECVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ecovyst Inc. trades at a P/E of 279.4 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ECVT?

11 analysts cover ECVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Ecovyst Inc. do?Ecovyst Inc. offers virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services in the United States and...

Ecovyst Inc. offers virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services in the United States and internationally. It offers end-to-end logistics for production of alkylate for refineries mining, water treatment, and industrial applications. The company was formerly known as PQ Group Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ecovyst Inc. in August 2021. Ecovyst Inc. was founded in 1831 and is headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania.