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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ecovyst is growing revenue and earnings strongly (42% YoY) with a 4-quarter earnings beat streak and 34.8% upside to the analyst target, but quality is weak (3.1/10), customer concentration is high, and the stock is in a short-term pullback.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Negative Momentum Pullback↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Growth Profile→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.97: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Ecovyst Inc. is a leading integrated provider of virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services, serving refining, mining, industrial, and water-treatment customers primarily from nine manufacturing facilities concentrated in the Gulf Coast and California. The... Read more

$9.97+32.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.54%
Stop $9.45Analyst target $13.20(−13% haircut)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst consensus$15.17+52.1%6 analysts with price targets
$13.20Analyst target
$9.97price
$15.17mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.97: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Ecovyst Inc.

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (61.0%)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn-7.1%
ROE4.0%
Rev Growth42.0%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers61%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers in 2025 representing approximately 61% of our sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWCustomersingle largest customer12%
    10-K Item 1: 'one customer had more than 10% of our total sales. This customer represented 12% or $89 million of our sales during this period.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierkey raw material suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we obtain a significant portion of our raw materials from certain key suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Roe
1.3
Roa
2.4
Operating Margin
3.5
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
4.3
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.66Resistance $10.44

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+32.3%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.97: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.45. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECVT stock price target?

Analyst target: $13.20 (+32.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.45. Stop-loss: $9.45.

What are the risks of investing in ECVT?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (61.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is ECVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ecovyst Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ECVT?

12 analysts rate ECVT, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $15.

What does Ecovyst Inc. do?Ecovyst Inc. is a leading integrated provider of virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services, serving...

Ecovyst Inc. is a leading integrated provider of virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services, serving refining, mining, industrial, and water-treatment customers primarily from nine manufacturing facilities concentrated in the Gulf Coast and California. The company generated $723.5 million in 2025 sales, holding an estimated number one or two supply-share position for products representing more than 95% of sales, with its top ten customers accounting for approximately 61% of 2025 sales.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga1h ago
Benzinga1h agoEarnings
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Benzinga73d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga90d ago
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Benzinga92d agoEarnings
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