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CBTCabot CorporationBuy Wait6.2·$74.43
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cabot Corporation has built a credible earnings track record with four consecutive beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but the stock has already traded through its near-term resistance target with revenues in structural decline — the setup favors patience over fresh commitment at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Structural Headwind→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Golden Cross→Stable
  • Price Above Near Term Target↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 24, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cabot Corporation (CBT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $73.03. At $74.43 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.03 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with... Read more

$74.43+5.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#8 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.72%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 2.07%)Payout51.05%sustainable
Entry $73.03(support + ATR (held))Stop $70.09Target $78.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$90.33+21.4%6 analysts
$78.59our TP
$74.43price
$90.33mean
$100

Wait for pullback to $73.03. At $74.43 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.03 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-31

Recent Developments — Cabot Corporation

Generated 2026-10-31T11:37:19Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.82
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C250.50bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.51%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 7.0>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.26Resistance $78.13

Price Targets

$70
$73
$79
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.51%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $73.03. At $74.43 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $73.03 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $78.59 (+5.6%), stop $70.09 (−6.2%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.59 (+5.6% upside). Target $78.59 (+5.6%), stop $70.09 (−6.2%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $70.09.

What are the risks of investing in CBT?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is CBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cabot Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CBT?

11 analysts cover CBT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Cabot Corporation do?Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement...

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with plants in the U.S. and over 20 other countries. Sales in China constituted approximately 25% of fiscal 2025 revenues; the company employed approximately 4,100 people globally at September 30, 2025.

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