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CBTCabot CorporationBuy Wait6.1·$86.30-0.78%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cabot Corporation has built a credible earnings track record with four consecutive beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but the stock has already traded through its near-term resistance target with revenues in structural decline — the setup favors patience over fresh commitment at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Structural HeadwindImproving
  • Attractive Valuation Golden CrossDeteriorating
  • Price Above Near Term TargetDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cabot Corporation (CBT) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $81.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $86.30. Engine's entry $81.98 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with... Read more

$86.30-7.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#10 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.75%
IncomeYield2.12%(5y avg 2.15%)Payout51.05%sustainable
Entry $81.98(5% below current)Stop $76.24Target $91.13(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$91.33+5.8%6 analysts
$91.13our TP
$86.30price
$91.33mean
$78
$100

Wait for pullback to $81.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $86.30. Engine's entry $81.98 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.84
Dividend2.12%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.58Resistance $92.99

Price Targets

$76
$82
$91
A.Upside-7.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $81.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $86.30. Engine's entry $81.98 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $91.13 (+5.6%), stop $76.24 (−13.2%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.13 (-7.9% upside). Target $91.13 (+5.6%), stop $76.24 (−13.2%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $76.24.

What are the risks of investing in CBT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cabot Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CBT?

11 analysts cover CBT with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Cabot Corporation do?Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement...

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with plants in the U.S. and over 20 other countries. Sales in China constituted approximately 25% of fiscal 2025 revenues; the company employed approximately 4,100 people globally at September 30, 2025.

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