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Cabot Corporation (CBT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five major tire customers; Concentration risk — Customer: four battery materials customers (50.0%).

Cabot Corporation is a global specialty chemicals producer with two segments: Reinforcement Materials (carbon blacks for tires/industrial) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, fumed metal oxides, aerogel, inkjet colorants, battery materials). Products are used in tires,... Read more

$82.31+2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.95%
IncomeYield2.25%(5y avg 2.15%)Payout33.96%sustainable
Stop $76.52Target $84.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$82.20-0.1%5 analysts
$84.70our TP
$82.31price
$82.20mean
$70
$95

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five major tire customers; Concentration risk — Customer: four battery materials customers (50.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Cabot Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: five major tire customers
Concentration risk — Customer: four battery materials customers (50.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth-3.4%
Beta0.78
Dividend2.25%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, sales in China across our segments constituted approximately 25% of our revenues, and our property, plant, and equipment located in China constituted approximately 21% of our total property, plant and equipment'
  • HIGHCustomerfive major tire customers
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to five major tire customers represent a material portion of Reinforcement Materials' total net sales and operating revenues. The loss of any of these customers...could have a material adverse effect on the segment'
  • HIGHCustomerfour battery materials customers50%
    10-K Item 1: 'In our battery materials product line, sales to four customers account for approximately 50% of revenue.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersix fumed metal oxides customers
    10-K Item 1: 'In our fumed metal oxides product line, sales under contracts with six customers account for approximately one-third of the revenue.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.92Resistance $86.43

Price Targets

$77
$85
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: five major tire customers; Concentration risk — Customer: four battery materials customers (50.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $84.70 (+2.9%), stop $76.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.70 (+2.9% upside). Target $84.70 (+2.9%), stop $76.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $76.52.

What are the risks of investing in CBT?

Concentration risk — Customer: five major tire customers; Concentration risk — Customer: four battery materials customers (50.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cabot Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBT?

13 analysts cover CBT with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Cabot Corporation do?Cabot Corporation is a global specialty chemicals producer with two segments: Reinforcement Materials (carbon blacks...

Cabot Corporation is a global specialty chemicals producer with two segments: Reinforcement Materials (carbon blacks for tires/industrial) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, fumed metal oxides, aerogel, inkjet colorants, battery materials). Products are used in tires, plastics, batteries, electronics, and printing, with manufacturing in 20+ countries. Fiscal year ends September 30.

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