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CBTCabot CorporationHold5.4·$86.35-0.40%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cabot Corporation has built a credible earnings track record with four consecutive beats and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but the stock has already traded through its near-term resistance target with revenues in structural decline — the setup favors patience over fresh commitment at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Structural HeadwindStable
  • Attractive Valuation Golden CrossStable
  • Price Above Near Term TargetStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cabot Corporation (CBT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with... Read more

$86.35+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.39%
IncomeYield2.11%(5y avg 2.15%)Payout33.96%sustainable
Stop $80.31Target $92.64(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$88.50+2.5%6 analysts
$92.64our TP
$86.35price
$88.50mean
$70
$102

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE20.0%
Rev Growth-3.4%
Beta0.83
Dividend2.11%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.64Resistance $94.53

Price Targets

$80
$93
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $92.64 (+7.3%), stop $80.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.64 (+7.3% upside). Target $92.64 (+7.3%), stop $80.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $80.31.

What are the risks of investing in CBT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is CBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cabot Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBT?

13 analysts cover CBT with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Cabot Corporation do?Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement...

Cabot Corporation manufactures specialty chemicals and performance materials across two segments—Reinforcement Materials (carbon black for tires and industrial products) and Performance Chemicals (specialty carbons, battery materials, fumed metal oxides, inkjet colorants)—with plants in the U.S. and over 20 other countries. Sales in China constituted approximately 25% of fiscal 2025 revenues; the company employed approximately 4,100 people globally at September 30, 2025.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) · FUL (H. B. Fuller Company) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.)
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