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ESIElement Solutions Inc.Hold6.3·$33.44
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Element Solutions has delivered exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 42% with consistent earnings beats, but the stock is priced at or marginally above its near-term target, converts only 16% of net income into free cash flow, and faces a put/call ratio of 72.61—an extraordinary level of institutional hedging that outweighs the momentum of the underlying growth story.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Poor Free Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Extreme Options Market Hedging↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Electronics segment (70.0%).

Element Solutions formulates and sells specialty chemicals across two segments — Electronics (70% of $2.55 billion 2025 sales) and Specialties (30%) — serving electronics manufacturing, semiconductor, automotive, and industrial markets globally. Revenue is driven by consumable... Read more

$33.44+23.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#5 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.40%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 1.26%)Payout37.65%sustainable
Stop $31.10Analyst target $41.18(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$47.33+41.5%12 analysts with price targets
$41.18Analyst target
$33.44price
$47.33mean
$55

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Electronics segment (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 23, 2026

Recent Developments — Element Solutions Inc.

Latest item Oct 23, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 16, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 23%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations (79.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: Electronics segment (70.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.3
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth51.7%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.96%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C16.05bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$32-4.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. operations79%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 79% of our net sales were generated from non-U.S. operations'
  • HIGHProductElectronics segment70%
    10-K Item 1: 'our Electronics and Specialties segments contributed approximately 70% and 30%, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sir Martin E. Franklin, Executive Chairman of the Board, informed the Board he will not seek reelection and will retire effective May 4, 2026 (2026 annual meeting). Board size reduced from 8 to 7 directors. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.45Resistance $37.27

Price Targets

$31
$41
A.Upside+23.1%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-16 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Electronics segment (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $41.18 (+23.1%), stop $31.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESI stock price target?

Analyst target: $41.18 (+23.1% upside). Analyst target $41.18 (+23.1%), stop $31.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $31.10.

What are the risks of investing in ESI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations (79.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Electronics segment (70.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is ESI overvalued or undervalued?

Element Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.3 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ESI?

17 analysts rate ESI, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $47.

What does Element Solutions Inc. do?Element Solutions formulates and sells specialty chemicals across two segments — Electronics (70% of $2.55 billion 2025...

Element Solutions formulates and sells specialty chemicals across two segments — Electronics (70% of $2.55 billion 2025 sales) and Specialties (30%) — serving electronics manufacturing, semiconductor, automotive, and industrial markets globally. Revenue is driven by consumable chemical processes integral to customers' manufacturing operations, with operational risks and switching costs cited as barriers to customer switching.

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