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Calumet, Inc (CLMT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Calumet, Inc. manufactures, formulates, and markets a slate of specialty branded products and renewable fuels in North America and internationally. It operates through Specialty Products and Solutions; Performance Brands; and Montana/Renewables segments. The Specialty Products... Read more

$33.00+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $30.67Target $35.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$37.00+12.1%5 analysts
$35.38our TP
$33.00price
$37.00mean
$25
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)95.7
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA23.8
Profit Mgn-0.8%
ROE
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierEnterprise Products Partners L.P. and Plains pipelines
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our Shreveport facility is interconnected to a pipeline that supplies a portion of its crude oil ... pipelines operated by subsidiaries of Enterprise Products Partners L.P. and Plains.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOW
    Director Jennifer Straumins notified Board on March 23, 2026 she will not stand for re-election; retires at 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement with Company operations cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.2
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -2% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.81Resistance $36.10

Price Targets

$31
$35
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.00: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $30.67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.38 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.67. Stop-loss: $30.67.

What are the risks of investing in CLMT?

Target reached (-2.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is CLMT overvalued or undervalued?

Calumet, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 95.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLMT?

12 analysts cover CLMT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Calumet, Inc do?Calumet, Inc. manufactures, formulates, and markets a slate of specialty branded products and renewable fuels in North...

Calumet, Inc. manufactures, formulates, and markets a slate of specialty branded products and renewable fuels in North America and internationally. It operates through Specialty Products and Solutions; Performance Brands; and Montana/Renewables segments. The Specialty Products and Solutions segment manufactures and markets various solvents, waxes, customized lubricating oils, white oils, petrolatums, gels, esters, and other products. The Montana/Renewables segment processes geographically advantaged renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, aviation fuel, and renewable naphtha. This segment also engages in the process of Canadian crude oil into conventional gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and specialty grades of asphalt. The Performance Brands segment blends, packages, and markets high performance products through Royal Purple, Bel-Ray, and TruFuel brands. It serves wholesale distributors and retail chains. Calumet, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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