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Sasol Ltd. (SSL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.27 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels... Read more

$13.27+5.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#28 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield55.28%
Stop $12.42Target $14.08(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$13.00-2.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.27 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Sasol Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.7
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA2.1
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE2.5%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta-0.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
5.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Macd
2.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.31Resistance $14.37

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-31 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.27 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.42. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.08 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.42. Stop-loss: $12.42.

What are the risks of investing in SSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is SSL overvalued or undervalued?

Sasol Ltd. trades at a P/E of 60.7 (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SSL?

14 analysts cover SSL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Sasol Ltd. do?Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha,...

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels or domestic, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and jet fuels. The company also provides methane rich and natural gas. In addition, it offers ammonium nitrate, limestone ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid for agriculture; industrial foaming agents, wax/hydrophobic coatings and industrial pegs, dispersible hydrates, boehmites, and aluminum oxides for building and construction; short-chain alcohols for flavors and fragrances; liquids, flakes, powders, and polyethylene glycols for health and wellness; caustic soda, hydrochloric acid CP Grade, and calcium chloride for industrial and institutional cleaning; alumina-based catalyst, cobalt FT catalysts, and mixed metal oxides for inorganic materials and catalysts; chemical feedstocks, process solvents, and chemicals for manufacturing and industrial; viscosity modifiers, chemical carriers, and adsorbents for mining, oil, and gas; hydrocarbons, surfactants, polyether, and polyglycols for paper and water; surfactants, dyes, finishing agents, tanning agents, and emulsifiers for textile and leather; and other chemicals for automotive and transportation, consumer goods, home care, packaging, printing, coatings, personal care, and polymers sectors. Further, it is involved in engineering services, research and development, and technology transfer; management of cash resources, investments, and procurement of loans; develop and implement international gas to liquid and CTL ventures; marketing of fuels and lubricants; trading and transportation of oil products, petrochemicals and chemical products, and derivatives; and coal mining activities. Sasol Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

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