Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Wait for pullback to $90.64. BUY gates pass at $105.30, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $90.64 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform with 130 million monthly active users as of December 31, 2025, offering 250+ language courses plus Math, Music, and Chess globally. Revenue comes from paid subscriptions (Super Duolingo, Duolingo Max; approximately 9% of MAUs) and... Read more
Wait for pullback to $90.64. BUY gates pass at $105.30, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $90.64 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.07, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierApple App Store and the Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on a limited number of third-party platforms such as the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store to distribute our products and collect payments'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $90.64. BUY gates pass at $105.30, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $90.64 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.07, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $107.80 (+2.4%), stop $85.25 (−23.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $107.80 (+18.9% upside). Target $107.80 (+2.4%), stop $85.25 (−23.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $85.25.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Duolingo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
31 analysts cover DUOL with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $105.
What does Duolingo, Inc. do?Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform with 130 million monthly active users as of December 31, 2025, offering...
Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform with 130 million monthly active users as of December 31, 2025, offering 250+ language courses plus Math, Music, and Chess globally. Revenue comes from paid subscriptions (Super Duolingo, Duolingo Max; approximately 9% of MAUs) and the Duolingo English Test; growth is primarily word-of-mouth. The platform's dataset of approximately 2 billion daily exercises powers continuous AI-driven improvement.