Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform offering 250+ language courses plus Math, Music, and Chess courses to over 130 million monthly active users via a freemium model. Revenue comes from paid subscriptions (Super Duolingo, Duolingo Max; ~9% of MAU), advertising, and the... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-17.5% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Duolingo, Inc.
Latest news
- Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) laps the stock market: Here's why - MSN — MSN positive
- Analysts’ Opinions Are Mixed on These Technology Stocks: Corpay Inc (CPAY) and Duolingo (DUOL) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- Does Duolingo’s (DUOL) UK Testing Bid Reframe Its Smart Learning Story Amid Analyst Skepticism? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- Duolingo stock plunges 64% in a year: Should you sell it now? - MSN — MSN negative
- Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) Hits New 12-Month Low - Time to Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierApple App Store and Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on a limited number of third-party platforms such as the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store to distribute our products and collect payments.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $114.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-17.5% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $116.38 (+2.1%), stop $106.11 (−7.4%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $116.38 (+2.0% upside). Target $116.38 (+2.1%), stop $106.11 (−7.4%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $106.11.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Duolingo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
31 analysts cover DUOL with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $105.
What does Duolingo, Inc. do?Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform offering 250+ language courses plus Math, Music, and Chess courses to...
Duolingo is a mobile-first education platform offering 250+ language courses plus Math, Music, and Chess courses to over 130 million monthly active users via a freemium model. Revenue comes from paid subscriptions (Super Duolingo, Duolingo Max; ~9% of MAU), advertising, and the Duolingo English Test accepted by 6,100+ institutions globally.