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DFINDonnelley Financial Solutions, Hold5.7·$46.21+4.74%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Donnelley Financial Solutions has cleared all substantive engine gates — posting four consecutive earnings beats with an average positive surprise above 33%, converting free cash flow at 345% of reported net income, and offering 34 points of potential upside against a roughly 5-to-1 favorable risk/reward ratio — but the stock's market capitalization sits at the $1 billion investable-universe floor, which mechanically constrains new position sizing until the company grows into fuller coverage.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Market Cap Investability FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Donnelley Financial Solutions, (DFIN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 80); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. provides compliance and regulatory software and services in the United States, Asia, Europe, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Capital Markets – Software Solutions (CM-SS); Capital Markets – Compliance and... Read more

$46.21+15.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#62 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.44%
Stop $42.98Target $53.55(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$63.00+36.3%3 analysts
$53.55our TP
$46.21price
$63.00mean
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 80); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Overbought (RSI 80)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.7
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.80bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$65+40.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
4.0
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
4.5
Value Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.11Resistance $46.80

Price Targets

$43
$54
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DFIN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 80); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $53.55 (+15.9%), stop $42.98 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DFIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.55 (+15.9% upside). Target $53.55 (+15.9%), stop $42.98 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $42.98.

What are the risks of investing in DFIN?

Overbought (RSI 80); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DFIN overvalued or undervalued?

Donnelley Financial Solutions, trades at a P/E of 33.7 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DFIN?

9 analysts cover DFIN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Donnelley Financial Solutions, do?Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. provides compliance and regulatory software and services in the United States,...

Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. provides compliance and regulatory software and services in the United States, Asia, Europe, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Capital Markets – Software Solutions (CM-SS); Capital Markets – Compliance and Communications Management (CM-CCM); Investment Companies – Software Solutions (IC-SS); and Investment Companies – Compliance and Communications Management (IC-CCM). The CM-SS segment provides Venue and ActiveDisclosure solutions to public and private companies to manage public and private transactional and compliance processes; collaborate; and tag, validate, and file SEC documents. The CM-CCM segment offers tech-enabled services and print and distribution solutions to public and private companies for deal solutions and SEC compliance requirements. The IC-SS segment provides clients with the Arc Suite platform that contains a comprehensive suite of cloud-based solutions, including ArcDigital, ArcReporting, ArcPro, and ArcRegulatory, as well as services that enable storage and management of compliance and regulatory information in a self-service and central repository for accessing, assembling, editing, translating, rendering, and submitting documents to regulators and investors. The IC-CCM segment offers tech-enabled solutions for creating, filing and distributing regulatory communications, and solutions for investor communications, as well as iXBRL-formatted filings pursuant for Investment Company Act through the SEC's EDGAR system. This segment provides turnkey proxy services, including discovery, planning and implementation, print and mail management, solicitation, tabulation services, stockholder meeting review, and expert support. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

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