Value
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.8 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 7.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.33
- ▸Attractively valued
DFIN · Why this verdict
Why Donnelley Financial Solutions, (DFIN) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.9 |
| ROA | 7.4 |
| Gross margin | 8.7 |
| Op margin | 9.5 |
| Net margin | 2.3 |
| Current ratio | 5.2 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 345% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.0 |
| EPS growth | 6.2 |
Momentum
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 8.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 3.6 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 71%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.6 |
| quality rank | 4.2 |
| growth rank | 0.4 |
Technical
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.4 |
| 52w position | 1.1 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.3 |
| days to cover | 6.9 |
| volatility | 1.1 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.6 |
| debt equity | 7.2 |
- ▸High IV: 88%
- ▸Above max pain $25
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.92B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:5.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
5.03
Upside
+45.8%
Downside
9.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $0.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.6, Catalyst at 7.5, and Quality at 6.8; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.8, Momentum at 3.8, and Growth at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.03 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.