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Clearwater Analytics Holdings, (CWAN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Clearwater Analytics operates a cloud-native AI-powered investment accounting and reporting platform aggregating data on over $10 trillion of global invested assets for over 2,500 clients including insurers, asset managers, hedge funds, and banks. Revenue is primarily recurring... Read more

$24.12-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#80 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $24.00Target $23.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$24.47+1.5%7 analysts
$23.72our TP
$24.12price
$24.47mean
$24
$25

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)27.2
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA91.1
Profit Mgn-5.3%
ROE-2.6%
Rev Growth72.0%
Beta0.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$21-12.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
9.7
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
9.0
Overbought (RSI 70)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.6
Forward Pe
4.6
Forward P/E: 27.2x
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.69Resistance $24.20

Price Targets

$24
$24
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CWAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.00. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CWAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.72 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $24.00. Stop-loss: $24.00.

What are the risks of investing in CWAN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is CWAN overvalued or undervalued?

Clearwater Analytics Holdings, trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CWAN?

15 analysts cover CWAN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Clearwater Analytics Holdings, do?Clearwater Analytics operates a cloud-native AI-powered investment accounting and reporting platform aggregating data...

Clearwater Analytics operates a cloud-native AI-powered investment accounting and reporting platform aggregating data on over $10 trillion of global invested assets for over 2,500 clients including insurers, asset managers, hedge funds, and banks. Revenue is primarily recurring through asset-based fees; the company agreed to be acquired for approximately $8.4B by Permira, Warburg Pincus, Temasek, and Francisco Partners, expected to close Q2 2026.

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