Constellium SE (CSTM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Basic Materials · Aluminum
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging, and automotive end markets across 24 facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. It earns revenue on a margin-over-metal-price model by converting aluminum into... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomercustomer concentration risk10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is exposed to customer concentration risk. A significant downturn in the business, credit or financial condition of our largest customers could expose us to the risk of default'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $29.62. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $33.02 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $29.62. Stop-loss: $29.62.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (15 sells, 0.13% of cap).
Constellium SE trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover CSTM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $36.
What does Constellium SE do?Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging,...
Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging, and automotive end markets across 24 facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. It earns revenue on a margin-over-metal-price model by converting aluminum into high-value semi-fabricated products, with product qualification creating switching costs.