Orla Mining is a high-conviction gold producer with an elite Rule of 40 score of 212, 169% revenue growth, and 217% free cash flow conversion, but an extreme put-to-call ratio of 22.86 and a materials cycle peak warning signal elevated near-term risk that may require waiting for a better entry.
Thesis pillars
- Revenue Growth 169pct→Stable
- Materials Cycle Peak Warning→Stable
- Elite Rule Of 40 Quality→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $10.39, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located... Read more
Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $10.39, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=6.0x,ratio=0.42x and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Orla Mining Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS GABELLI GOLD FUND INC's Orla Mining Ltd(ORLA) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Here's why Orla Mining (ORLA) is a great 'buy the bottom' stock now - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Is Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA) a Bargain After 5.3% Drop? GF Value Sa - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Price to book forward of Orla Mining Ltd. – TSX:OLA - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Equinox Gold Announces Filing and Mailing of Meeting Materials for the Special Meeting of Shareholders to Approve Busine — BNN Bloomberg neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T11:21:38Z.
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Rating Breakdown
3 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $10.39, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $15.81 (+52.2%), stop $9.10 (−14.2%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.81 (+61.5% upside). Target $15.81 (+52.2%), stop $9.10 (−14.2%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Stop-loss: $9.10.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.42× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..
Orla Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
14 analysts cover ORLA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Orla Mining Ltd. do?Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead,...
Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 15,000 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama; and the South Railroad project consisting of an area of 21,000 hectares located in Elko, Nevada. It also holds interest in acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.