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ORLAOrla Mining Ltd.Buy Wait7.2·$11.57+3.30%
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Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $11.57, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located... Read more

$11.57+43.9% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#4 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield14.14%
IncomeYield0.54%Payout2.08%sustainable
Entry $10.27(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $8.75Target $15.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1Setup A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst target$18.60+60.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $11.57, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. V9 Gate blocked: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=6.9x,ratio=0.44x and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE42.0%
Rev Growth169.3%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C9.37bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$10-13.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.5
Gap
5.0
Bollinger
5.1
Support Resistance
5.1
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=6.9x,ratio=0.44xSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.74Resistance $13.46

Price Targets

$9
$10
$16
A.Upside+36.6%
A.R:R2.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.8%
Max %3.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=6.9x,ratio=0.44x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORLA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $10.27. BUY gates pass at $11.57, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. V9 Gate blocked: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $15.81 (+36.6%), stop $8.75 (−32.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.81 (+43.9% upside). Target $15.81 (+36.6%), stop $8.75 (−32.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Stop-loss: $8.75.

What are the risks of investing in ORLA?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..

Is ORLA overvalued or undervalued?

Orla Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ORLA?

13 analysts cover ORLA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Orla Mining Ltd. do?Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead,...

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 15,000 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama; and the South Railroad project consisting of an area of 21,000 hectares located in Elko, Nevada. It also holds interest in acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)
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