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Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $14.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located... Read more

$13.23+47.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#17 of 32 Gold
Entry $14.04(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $12.26Target $18.53(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$21.80+64.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $14.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.2
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE18.4%
Rev Growth308.0%
Beta1.26
Dividend0.46%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.90Resistance $19.00

Price Targets

$12
$14
$19
A.Upside+40.1%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORLA stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $14.04 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $18.53 (+40.1%), stop $12.26 (−7.9%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.53 (+47.6% upside). Target $18.53 (+40.1%), stop $12.26 (−7.9%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $12.26.

What are the risks of investing in ORLA?

Negative momentum.

Is ORLA overvalued or undervalued?

Orla Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 43.2 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ORLA?

15 analysts cover ORLA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Orla Mining Ltd. do?Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead,...

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 15,000 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama; and the South Railroad project consisting of an area of 21,000 hectares located in Elko, Nevada. It also holds interest in acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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