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CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

CSG Systems provides SaaS-based revenue management, billing, and customer engagement platforms primarily to telecom, broadband, and media companies globally. Revenue is recurring via multi-year SaaS and services contracts; Charter and Comcast together account for 35%+ of... Read more

$80.36-1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#74 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $79.95Target $79.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$80.70+0.4%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.6
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.88
Dividend1.69%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV29%low

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCharter and Comcast
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generate over 35% of our revenue from our two largest customers, Charter and Comcast'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
5.2
Value Rank
5.9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.3
Ma Position
9.0
Overbought (RSI 73)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.89Resistance $80.65

Price Targets

$80
$79
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $79.95. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

What is the CSGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.04 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $79.95. Stop-loss: $79.95.

What are the risks of investing in CSGS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is CSGS overvalued or undervalued?

CSG Systems International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.6 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSGS?

12 analysts cover CSGS with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $81.

What does CSG Systems International, Inc. do?CSG Systems provides SaaS-based revenue management, billing, and customer engagement platforms primarily to telecom,...

CSG Systems provides SaaS-based revenue management, billing, and customer engagement platforms primarily to telecom, broadband, and media companies globally. Revenue is recurring via multi-year SaaS and services contracts; Charter and Comcast together account for 35%+ of revenues.

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