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CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

CrowdStrike provides cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, offering 33 modules covering endpoint security, identity protection, cloud security, next-gen SIEM, threat intelligence, and IT automation to enterprises and government customers globally. Revenue is... Read more

$610.86+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#68 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.02%
Stop $573.70Target $621.56(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$508.80-16.7%51 analysts
$621.56our TP
$610.86price
$508.80mean
$368
$706

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.80)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)100.0
Mkt Cap$157.0B
EV/EBITDA-3259.1
Profit Mgn-3.4%
ROE-4.1%
Rev Growth23.3%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts62

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$315-48.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved performance-and service-based PSU award to Michael Sentonas (President) on April 16, 2026, with a target of 100,000 PSUs under the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan. Compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Peg Ratio
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward P/E: 100.0xPEG: 4.35Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
6.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $432.55Resistance $634.24

Price Targets

$574
$622
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRWD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $621.56 (+1.8%), stop $573.70 (−6.5%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CRWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $621.56 (+0.8% upside). Target $621.56 (+1.8%), stop $573.70 (−6.5%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $573.70.

What are the risks of investing in CRWD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Is CRWD overvalued or undervalued?

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 100.0). TrendMatrix value score: 1.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRWD?

62 analysts cover CRWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $509.

What does CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. do?CrowdStrike provides cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, offering 33 modules covering endpoint...

CrowdStrike provides cloud-native cybersecurity through its Falcon platform, offering 33 modules covering endpoint security, identity protection, cloud security, next-gen SIEM, threat intelligence, and IT automation to enterprises and government customers globally. Revenue is primarily subscription-based; the company reported a net loss of $162.5M in fiscal 2026 following the July 19, 2024 software update incident. The platform's crowdsourced AI trained on trillions of events per week creates a data network effect.

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