MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the MDB stock price target?

Take-profit $333.17 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $306.90.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET)

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $339.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Atlas (73.0%).

MongoDB offers a cloud-hosted database-as-a-service platform (Atlas) and enterprise self-managed database (MongoDB Enterprise Advanced) used by developers globally across all major cloud providers. Atlas represented 73% of total revenue in fiscal year ended January 31, 2026; the... Read more

$339.75+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#69 of 78 Software - Infrastructure

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.75%

Stop $306.90Target $333.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1

Analyst target$356.05+4.8%36 analysts

$333.17our TP

$339.75price

$356.05mean

$260

$495

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — MongoDB, Inc.

Latest news

Baird Maintains Neutral on MongoDB, Raises Price Target to $335 — benzinga May 20, 2026 positive
RBC Capital Reiterates Outperform on MongoDB, Maintains $395 Price Target — benzinga May 19, 2026 positive
ValueAct Capital Decreases Stake In Amazon To 2,884,600 Shares; BlackRock To 546,100 Shares; The Walt Disney Company To — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
BMO Capital Maintains Outperform on MongoDB, Raises Price Target to $360 — benzinga May 15, 2026 positive
Citigroup Maintains Buy on MongoDB, Raises Price Target to $450 — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Positive momentum

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Atlas (73.0%)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)46.6

Mkt Cap$26.5B

EV/EBITDA-221.8

Profit Mgn-2.9%

ROE-2.5%

Rev Growth26.7%

Beta1.49

DividendNone

Rating analysts46

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish

IV107%elevated

Max Pain$135-60.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductAtlas73%
10-K Item 1: 'Atlas represented 73%, 70% and 66% of our total revenue for the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
Cedric Pech, President Field Operations, notified MongoDB of intent to resign effective April 15, 2026. Separation agreement entered. No successor named.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.115%0.46

Quality4.515%0.67

Growth5.815%0.87

Momentum8.210%0.82

Sentiment6.110%0.61

Insider Activity3.910%0.39

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup1.95%0.10

Risk Profile4.75%0.24

Catalyst7.65%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)4.96

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

0.0

Support Resistance

1.0

52w Position

4.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe

2.5

2.9

Analyst Target

4.0

Forward P/E: 46.6x

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

82 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $240.62Resistance $339.97

Price Targets

$307

$333

A.Upside-1.9%

A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-28 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MDB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $339.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Atlas (73.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $306.90. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the MDB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $333.17 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $306.90. Stop-loss: $306.90.

What are the risks of investing in MDB?

Concentration risk — Product: Atlas (73.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Is MDB overvalued or undervalued?

MongoDB, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 46.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MDB?

46 analysts cover MDB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $356.

What does MongoDB, Inc. do?MongoDB offers a cloud-hosted database-as-a-service platform (Atlas) and enterprise self-managed database (MongoDB...