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NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $120.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

NetApp provides enterprise data infrastructure—storage hardware, software, and cloud services—through Hybrid Cloud (on-premises and private cloud storage) and Public Cloud (native cloud storage on AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud) segments. Sales through indirect channel partners... Read more

$120.22+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#53 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.70%
IncomeYield1.73%(5y avg 2.31%)Payout34.90%sustainable
Stop $112.74Target $121.00(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$117.13-2.6%15 analysts
$121.00our TP
$120.22price
$117.13mean
$88
$137

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $120.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — NetApp, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$23.8B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn18.1%
ROE112.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.73%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerArrow Electronics21%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to customers Arrow Electronics, Inc. and TD Synnex Corporation accounted for 21% and 24% of our net revenues, respectively, in fiscal 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerTD Synnex Corporation24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to customers Arrow Electronics, Inc. and TD Synnex Corporation accounted for 21% and 24% of our net revenues, respectively, in fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
5.9
Quality Rank
8.6
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $106.30Resistance $123.47

Price Targets

$113
$121
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $120.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $112.74. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the NTAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $121.00 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $112.74. Stop-loss: $112.74.

What are the risks of investing in NTAP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Is NTAP overvalued or undervalued?

NetApp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTAP?

28 analysts cover NTAP with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $117.

What does NetApp, Inc. do?NetApp provides enterprise data infrastructure—storage hardware, software, and cloud services—through Hybrid Cloud...

NetApp provides enterprise data infrastructure—storage hardware, software, and cloud services—through Hybrid Cloud (on-premises and private cloud storage) and Public Cloud (native cloud storage on AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud) segments. Sales through indirect channel partners represented 78% of net revenues in fiscal 2025. Arrow Electronics (21%) and TD Synnex Corporation (24%) together accounted for nearly half of net revenues.

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