The Campbell's Company (CPB) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.71 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single facility for Rao's tomato-based sauce (Italy).
Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across Meals & Beverages (soups, Rao's, Prego, Swanson) and Snacks (Pepperidge Farm, Goldfish, Snyder's of Hanover, Cape Cod) segments. Revenue comes from retail and foodservice customers primarily in the... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.71 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single facility for Rao's tomato-based sauce (Italy). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers47%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, our five largest customers accounted for approximately 47% of our consolidated net sales'
- LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc. and its affiliates21%10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customer, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and its affiliates, accounting for approximately 21% of our consolidated net sales'
- HIGHSuppliersingle facility for Rao's tomato-based sauce (Italy)10-K Item 1A: 'the substantial majority of our Rao's tomato-based sauce products are produced by a third-party contract manufacturer at a single facility in Italy'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.71 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single facility for Rao's tomato-based sauce (Italy). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $19.55. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.23 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $19.55. Stop-loss: $19.55.
Concentration risk — Supplier: single facility for Rao's tomato-based sauce (Italy); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.
The Campbell's Company trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover CPB with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $24.
What does The Campbell's Company do?Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across Meals & Beverages (soups, Rao's, Prego,...
Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across Meals & Beverages (soups, Rao's, Prego, Swanson) and Snacks (Pepperidge Farm, Goldfish, Snyder's of Hanover, Cape Cod) segments. Revenue comes from retail and foodservice customers primarily in the U.S. and Canada.