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Darling Ingredients Inc. (DAR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.24: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Darling Ingredients is a global developer and producer of sustainable natural ingredients from animal by-products and recycled oils across Feed, Food, and Fuel Ingredients segments, operating on five continents. The company generated $6.1B in revenues in 2025; it also holds a... Read more

$63.24+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 26 Packaged Foods
Stop $59.03Target $63.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$72.17+14.1%12 analysts
$63.60our TP
$63.24price
$72.17mean
$61
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.24: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)161.0
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE1.5%
Rev Growth20.6%
Beta1.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$38-40.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percentage of our revenue is attributable to a limited number of suppliers and customers'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle or few suppliers at certain facilities
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our operating facilities are highly dependent upon a single or a few suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Gary Mize (Lead Director since 2016) announced retirement at 2026 Annual Meeting; retains Lead Director role through then. Robert Aspell elected to Board effective February 25, 2026 and appointed to Audit Committee. Board size increased to 11.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
9.6
Industry growth leader

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 0 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.5
Net Margin
0.5
Gross Margin
0.8
Roa
1.7
Operating Margin
3.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 349% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.83Resistance $64.90

Price Targets

$59
$64
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.24: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.03. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.60 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $59.03. Stop-loss: $59.03.

What are the risks of investing in DAR?

Target reached (-1.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is DAR overvalued or undervalued?

Darling Ingredients Inc. trades at a P/E of 161.0 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAR?

19 analysts cover DAR with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Darling Ingredients Inc. do?Darling Ingredients is a global developer and producer of sustainable natural ingredients from animal by-products and...

Darling Ingredients is a global developer and producer of sustainable natural ingredients from animal by-products and recycled oils across Feed, Food, and Fuel Ingredients segments, operating on five continents. The company generated $6.1B in revenues in 2025; it also holds a ~50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel with Valero, converting fats and oils into renewable diesel and SAF.

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