Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company selling weight management (54.5%), targeted nutrition (30.0%), energy/sports/fitness (12.2%), and personal care products in 95 markets through approximately 6.4 million independent Members. Revenue comes from product sales... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Herbalife Ltd.
Material events (past 30 days)
- May 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.01: Herbalife subsidiaries issued $800M of 7.750% Senior Secured Notes due May 1, 2033 on April 29, 2026, in a Rule 144A/Reg S private offering; semi-annual interest; first-lien secured; guaranteed by Company and subsidiaries.
Latest news
- Herbalife (HLF) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Herbalife Ltd (HLF) Stock Up 7.3% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 67/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- HLF Exceeds First Quarter Growth Expectations - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Herbalife (NYSE:HLF) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.09 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- HERBALIFE NUTRITION ($HLF) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductFormula 1 Healthy Meal25%10-K Item 1: 'Our Formula 1 Nutritional Shake Mix, our best-selling product line, approximated 25% of our net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-01Item 1.01MEDIUMHerbalife subsidiaries issued $800M of 7.750% Senior Secured Notes due May 1, 2033 on April 29, 2026, in a Rule 144A/Reg S private offering; semi-annual interest; first-lien secured; guaranteed by Company and subsidiaries.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-01Item 2.04LOWIssuance of $800M 7.750% Senior Secured Notes due 2033 on April 29, 2026 constitutes a triggering event creating a direct financial obligation under the new Indenture. Voluntary issuance without default.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $15.30 (+25.8%), stop $11.74 (−3.6%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.30 (+25.8% upside). Target $15.30 (+25.8%), stop $11.74 (−3.6%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $11.74.
Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
Herbalife Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.5 (forward 4.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
9 analysts cover HLF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Herbalife Ltd. do?Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company selling weight management (54.5%), targeted nutrition (30.0%),...
Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company selling weight management (54.5%), targeted nutrition (30.0%), energy/sports/fitness (12.2%), and personal care products in 95 markets through approximately 6.4 million independent Members. Revenue comes from product sales via the Member network; Formula 1 Healthy Meal approximates 25% of net sales. Products are manufactured at owned facilities (approximately 46% of inner nutrition) plus third-party contract manufacturers globally.