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Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company distributing weight management, targeted nutrition, energy/fitness, and outer nutrition products through independent members in 95 markets. Revenue comes from product sales to and through the member network; Formula 1... Read more

$16.67+2.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 26 Packaged Foods
Stop $15.50Target $17.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$17.50+5.0%4 analysts
$17.11our TP
$16.67price
$17.50mean
$9
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 52%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.3
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.95
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$22+32.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductFormula 1 Healthy Meal25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our Formula 1 Healthy Meal, which is our best-selling product line, approximated 25% of our net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.0
Bollinger
3.1
52w Position
6.3
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.57Resistance $17.46

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $17.11 (+2.6%), stop $15.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.11 (+2.6% upside). Target $17.11 (+2.6%), stop $15.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $15.50.

What are the risks of investing in HLF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is HLF overvalued or undervalued?

Herbalife Ltd. trades at a P/E of 7.3 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLF?

9 analysts cover HLF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Herbalife Ltd. do?Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company distributing weight management, targeted nutrition,...

Herbalife is a global direct-selling nutrition company distributing weight management, targeted nutrition, energy/fitness, and outer nutrition products through independent members in 95 markets. Revenue comes from product sales to and through the member network; Formula 1 Nutritional Shake Mix represented approximately 25% of net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.

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