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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.4·$8.99
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with roughly 34% upside to analyst targets and a Piotroski score of 9/9, but two of four recent quarters were earnings misses with estimates trending lower and a news-driven caution signal dampening the near-term case for adding to positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Early Technical Recovery Signals↑Improving
  • Deep Value With Material Upside→Stable
  • Earnings Miss And Estimate Deterioration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.99: Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.00; Below long-term trend.

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$8.99+31.4% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield19.24%
Stop $8.36Target $11.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$13.58+51.0%13 analysts
$11.81our TP
$8.99price
$13.58mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.99: Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.00; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.3
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C7.00bearish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
4.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.33Resistance $9.33

Price Targets

$8
$12
A.Upside+31.4%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.99: Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.00; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $8.36. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.81 (+31.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.36. Stop-loss: $8.36.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

21 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

Related stocks: SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · MAMA (Mama's Creations, Inc.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC) · FLO (Flowers Foods, Inc.)
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