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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.2·$10.39-0.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with roughly 34% upside to analyst targets and a Piotroski score of 9/9, but two of four recent quarters were earnings misses with estimates trending lower and a news-driven caution signal dampening the near-term case for adding to positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Early Technical Recovery SignalsDeteriorating
  • Deep Value With Material UpsideStable
  • Earnings Miss And Estimate DeteriorationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$10.39+23.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.65%
Stop $9.79Target $12.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$14.71+41.6%12 analysts
$12.80our TP
$10.39price
$14.71mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.3
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.09Resistance $11.71

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+23.2%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $9.79. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.80 (+23.2% upside). Prior stop was $9.79. Stop-loss: $9.79.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.3 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

21 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · MAMA (Mama's Creations, Inc.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC)
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