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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.0·$10.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 7.0x with a strong Piotroski score and 26.6% upside to the analyst target, but three earnings misses in four quarters and a confirmed downtrend keep it a speculative, small-cap recovery case.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Forward Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Execution Recovery↓Deteriorating
  • Balance Sheet Quality Piotroski→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 18, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. At $10.22, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -18.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$10.22+13.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#9 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.92%
Stop $9.50Analyst target $11.61(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$13.35+30.6%13 analysts with price targets
$11.61Analyst target
$10.22price
$13.35mean
$9
$20

Sell if holding. At $10.22, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -18.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Jul 30, 2026

Recent Developments — BellRing Brands, Inc.

Latest item Jul 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 61%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -18.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV104%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 12 days
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.67Resistance $10.57

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.22, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -18.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $9.50. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Analyst target: $11.61 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.50. Stop-loss: $9.50.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -18.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

22 analysts rate BRBR, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $13.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

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