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BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

BellRing Brands sells convenient nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $2.3B) and Dymatize brands through club, FDM, and eCommerce channels, primarily in the U.S. (88.1% of net sales). Walmart (17%) and Kroger (12%) together represent 29% of... Read more

$8.74+45.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield17.67%
Stop $8.58Target $12.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$14.86+70.0%14 analysts
$12.93our TP
$8.74price
$14.86mean
$30

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 13, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — BellRing Brands, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 54%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C4.33bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$50+472.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 13, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -19.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Earnings Growth
3.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
13 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.85Resistance $18.43

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+47.9%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.74 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 13, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.58. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.93 (+45.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.58. Stop-loss: $8.58.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

23 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands sells convenient nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $2.3B) and...

BellRing Brands sells convenient nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $2.3B) and Dymatize brands through club, FDM, and eCommerce channels, primarily in the U.S. (88.1% of net sales). Walmart (17%) and Kroger (12%) together represent 29% of total net sales.

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