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NOMDNomad Foods LimitedSell5.4·$10.27+3.37%
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Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food products in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers frozen fish products, including fish fingers, coated fish, and natural fish; ready-to-cook... Read more

$10.27+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield11.24%
IncomeYield6.85%Payout65.09%
Stop $9.70Target $11.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$12.77+24.4%5 analysts
$11.11our TP
$10.27price
$12.77mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth-5.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend6.85%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$3-75.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.9
Support Resistance
1.9
Bollinger
3.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
7.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
1.4
Roe
1.7
Net Margin
2.2
Roa
2.5
Moat
3.1
Operating Margin
3.7
Current Ratio
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
7.9
No competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 685.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.66%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.99Resistance $10.54

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.66%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.11 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.70. Stop-loss: $9.70.

What are the risks of investing in NOMD?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is NOMD overvalued or undervalued?

Nomad Foods Limited trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NOMD?

11 analysts cover NOMD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Nomad Foods Limited do?Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food...

Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food products in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers frozen fish products, including fish fingers, coated fish, and natural fish; ready-to-cook vegetable products, such as peas and spinach; and frozen poultry and meat products, comprising nuggets, grills, and burgers. It also provides meal products that contain ready-to-cook noodles, pasta, lasagna, pancakes, and other ready-made meals; ice creams, such as in-home and out-of-home ice creams; and other products comprising soups, pizzas, bakery goods, and meat substitutes. The company sells its products to supermarkets and food retail chains primarily under the Birds Eye, Green Cuisine, iglo, Findus, Aunt Bessie's, Goodfella's, Frikom, Ledo, La Cocinera, and Belviva brand names. Nomad Foods Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Woking, the United Kingdom.

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