Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NOMD stock price target?

Take-profit $11.37 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.22.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NOMD?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Q: Is NOMD overvalued or undervalued?

Nomad Foods Limited trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about NOMD?

12 analysts cover NOMD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

Recovery setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

$9.63+17.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 26 Packaged Foods

Stop $9.22Target $11.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1

Analyst target$13.06+35.7%6 analysts

$11.37our TP

$9.63price

$13.06mean

$15

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 40%

Risks

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9

P/E (Fwd)5.1

Mkt Cap$1.4B

EV/EBITDA6.9

Profit Mgn4.5%

ROE5.3%

Rev Growth-2.6%

Beta0.72

Dividend7.11%

Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.86bearish

IV73%elevated

Max Pain$20+107.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.115%1.36

Quality4.115%0.61

Growth6.015%0.90

Momentum4.510%0.45

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.310%0.33

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst4.25%0.21

Overall (Σ contributions)5.56

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

2.7

Quality Rank

3.0

Value Rank

7.4

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

41 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.44Resistance $10.02

Price Targets

$11

A.Upside+18.1%

A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NOMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $9.22. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.37 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.22. Stop-loss: $9.22.

What are the risks of investing in NOMD?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NOMD overvalued or undervalued?

Nomad Foods Limited trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NOMD?

12 analysts cover NOMD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Nomad Foods Limited do?Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food...

Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food products in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers frozen fish products, including fish fingers, coated fish, and natural fish; ready-to-cook vegetable products, such as peas and spinach; and frozen poultry and meat products, comprising nuggets, grills, and burgers. It also provides meal products that contain ready-to-cook noodles, pasta, lasagna, pancakes, and other ready-made meals; ice creams, such as in-home and out-of-home ice creams; and other products comprising soups, pizzas, bakery goods, and meat substitutes. The company sells its products to supermarkets and food retail chains primarily under the Birds Eye, Green Cuisine, iglo, Findus, Aunt Bessie's, Goodfella's, Frikom, Ledo, La Cocinera, and Belviva brand names. Nomad Foods Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Woking, the United Kingdom.