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CNMDCONMED CorporationSell5.1·$44.29
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CNMD has strung together four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 5.5% positive surprise, and free cash flow runs at 229% of net income — strong operational quality signals — but a confirmed price downtrend with the 200-day moving average slope declining at -5.5% over 30 days, a put/call ratio of 6.00, and less than 1% headroom to the analyst target make this a high-quality business in an unfavorable technical and positioning setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Unbroken Four Quarter Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion Quality↓Deteriorating
  • Confirmed Downtrend Blocks Entry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CONMED Corporation (CNMD) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for orthopedic and general surgery, sold to hospitals and surgery centers in over 100 countries. General surgery products, including the AirSeal insufflation system and... Read more

$44.29-8.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#51 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.11%
Stop $42.20Analyst target $40.74(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$46.83+5.7%6 analysts
$44.29price
$46.83mean
$43
$50

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CONMED Corporation

About CONMED Corporation

CONMED Corporation generated $1.37 billion in net sales in 2025 across two segments: general surgery (58% of sales) and orthopedic surgery (42%), sold through roughly 3,900 employees to more than 6,000 hospitals and surgery centers worldwide. International sales, denominated in local currencies across 18 countries with company-owned sales subsidiaries, represented approximately 32% of consolidated net sales. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023.

General surgery revenue is led by the AirSeal valveless insufflation system and the Buffalo Filter smoke evacuation line, alongside an electrosurgical energy platform and endomechanical instruments, competing against Medtronic, Johnson & Johnson's Ethicon, Stryker Endoscopy and Olympus; 92% of general surgery revenue in 2025 came from single-use, recurring products. Orthopedic surgery centers on sports-medicine soft-tissue repair (BioBrace, Y-Knot suture anchors) and Hall-brand powered surgical tools, competing against Smith & Nephew, Arthrex, Stryker, Zimmer Biomet and Johnson & Johnson's DePuy units; 78% of orthopedic revenue was similarly recurring single-use product sales. CONMED elected to accelerate the wind-down of its exclusive U.S. and Canadian distribution agreement for W.L. Gore's VIABIL biliary device, concluding it effective January 1, 2026, and intends to exit its remaining gastroenterology product line. Royalty expense on licensed product technology was $7.3 million in 2025.

Show full overview

Unlike many diversified medtech peers, CONMED states plainly that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales and that the loss of any individual group purchasing contract would not materially affect the business, leaving supply chain as the more concentrated exposure: the 10-K discloses that strategic partnerships with key suppliers may result in components and raw materials being sole sourced. With international sales at 32% of the total and general surgery alone contributing 58% of revenue, a sole-source component disruption tied to either segment carries more concentrated risk than the diversified, no-single-customer sales base would otherwise suggest.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From CONMED Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202786d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE7.1%
Rev Growth-0.7%
Beta0.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.50Resistance $49.73

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.29 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.20. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNMD stock price target?

Analyst target $40.74 reached (−8.0% from $44.29); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $42.20. Stop-loss: $42.20.

What are the risks of investing in CNMD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Weak growth.

Is CNMD overvalued or undervalued?

CONMED Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNMD?

12 analysts cover CNMD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $47.

What does CONMED Corporation do?CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for...

CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for orthopedic and general surgery, sold to hospitals and surgery centers in over 100 countries. General surgery products, including the AirSeal insufflation system and Buffalo Filter smoke evacuation line, generated 58% of 2025 net sales of $1.37 billion, with orthopedic sports-medicine and power-tool products making up the remaining 42%; international sales represented approximately 32% of the total.

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