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CNMDCONMED CorporationHold5.7·$43.63+5.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CNMD has strung together four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 5.5% positive surprise, and free cash flow runs at 229% of net income — strong operational quality signals — but a confirmed price downtrend with the 200-day moving average slope declining at -5.5% over 30 days, a put/call ratio of 6.00, and less than 1% headroom to the analyst target make this a high-quality business in an unfavorable technical and positioning setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Unbroken Four Quarter Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Blocks EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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CONMED Corporation (CNMD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for orthopedic and general surgery, sold to hospitals and surgery centers in over 100 countries. General surgery products, including the AirSeal insufflation system and... Read more

$43.63-22.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#21 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.22%
IncomeYield1.90%(5y avg 1.02%)Payout22.60%sustainable
Stop $40.58Target $44.40(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$39.00-10.6%6 analysts
$44.40our TP
$43.63price
$39.00mean
$36

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CONMED Corporation

About CONMED Corporation

CONMED Corporation generated $1.37 billion in net sales in 2025 across two segments: general surgery (58% of sales) and orthopedic surgery (42%), sold through roughly 3,900 employees to more than 6,000 hospitals and surgery centers worldwide. International sales, denominated in local currencies across 18 countries with company-owned sales subsidiaries, represented approximately 32% of consolidated net sales. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales in 2025, 2024 or 2023.

General surgery revenue is led by the AirSeal valveless insufflation system and the Buffalo Filter smoke evacuation line, alongside an electrosurgical energy platform and endomechanical instruments, competing against Medtronic, Johnson & Johnson's Ethicon, Stryker Endoscopy and Olympus; 92% of general surgery revenue in 2025 came from single-use, recurring products. Orthopedic surgery centers on sports-medicine soft-tissue repair (BioBrace, Y-Knot suture anchors) and Hall-brand powered surgical tools, competing against Smith & Nephew, Arthrex, Stryker, Zimmer Biomet and Johnson & Johnson's DePuy units; 78% of orthopedic revenue was similarly recurring single-use product sales. CONMED elected to accelerate the wind-down of its exclusive U.S. and Canadian distribution agreement for W.L. Gore's VIABIL biliary device, concluding it effective January 1, 2026, and intends to exit its remaining gastroenterology product line. Royalty expense on licensed product technology was $7.3 million in 2025.

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Unlike many diversified medtech peers, CONMED states plainly that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales and that the loss of any individual group purchasing contract would not materially affect the business, leaving supply chain as the more concentrated exposure: the 10-K discloses that strategic partnerships with key suppliers may result in components and raw materials being sole sourced. With international sales at 32% of the total and general surgery alone contributing 58% of revenue, a sole-source component disruption tied to either segment carries more concentrated risk than the diversified, no-single-customer sales base would otherwise suggest.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From CONMED Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth-1.3%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.90%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.5
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.09Resistance $45.31

Price Targets

$41
$44
A.Upside-22.2%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNMD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $44.40 (+1.8%), stop $40.58 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.40 (-22.2% upside). Target $44.40 (+1.8%), stop $40.58 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $40.58.

What are the risks of investing in CNMD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is CNMD overvalued or undervalued?

CONMED Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CNMD?

11 analysts cover CNMD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $39.

What does CONMED Corporation do?CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for...

CONMED Corporation is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures and distributes surgical devices for orthopedic and general surgery, sold to hospitals and surgery centers in over 100 countries. General surgery products, including the AirSeal insufflation system and Buffalo Filter smoke evacuation line, generated 58% of 2025 net sales of $1.37 billion, with orthopedic sports-medicine and power-tool products making up the remaining 42%; international sales represented approximately 32% of the total.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · DCTH (Delcath Systems, Inc.) · TCMD (Tactile Systems Technology, Inc) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · ATEC (Alphatec Holdings, Inc.)
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