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TCMDTactile Systems Technology, IncSell6.4·$31.35+2.28%
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Tactile Systems Technology, Inc (TCMD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. At $31.35, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc., a medical technology company, develops and provides medical devices to treat underserved chronic diseases in the United States. It offers Flexitouch Plus system, a pneumatic compression device for the treatment of lymphedema, phlebolymphedema,... Read more

$31.35+7.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 64 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.73%
Stop $29.16Target $33.57(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$39.50+26.0%4 analysts
$33.57our TP
$31.35price
$39.50mean
$42

Sell if holding. At $31.35, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.0): -1.5
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.0
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$707M
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth22.8%
Beta0.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.51Resistance $31.42

Price Targets

$29
$34
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TCMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $31.35, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.16. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TCMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.57 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $29.16. Stop-loss: $29.16.

What are the risks of investing in TCMD?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.0): -1.5; Overbought (RSI 81).

Is TCMD overvalued or undervalued?

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TCMD?

11 analysts cover TCMD with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Tactile Systems Technology, Inc do?Tactile Systems Technology, Inc., a medical technology company, develops and provides medical devices to treat...

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc., a medical technology company, develops and provides medical devices to treat underserved chronic diseases in the United States. It offers Flexitouch Plus system, a pneumatic compression device for the treatment of lymphedema, phlebolymphedema, lipedema, venous insufficiencies, and other types of edema and leg ulcers; Entre Plus System, a pneumatic compression device for the at-home treatment of lymphedema, chronic edema, venous insufficiency, and chronic wounds. The company also provides Nimbl, a pneumatic compression platform for the treatment of upper extremity lymphedema; Kylee, a mobile application to help patients learn about lymphedema, track their symptoms, and treatment, as well as to share their progress with their doctor; and AffloVest, a portable high frequency chest wall oscillation vest to treat patients with retained pulmonary secretions resulting from bronchiectasis, cystic fibrosis, and various neuromuscular disorders. Tactile Systems Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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