Check Point Software combines four consecutive quarters of beating analyst estimates — averaging 22% upside to consensus — with premier financial quality in 38% operating margins and a perfect Piotroski F-score, but a confirmed death-cross downtrend and failed momentum gate mean the risk/reward favors patience until price conditions improve.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Cushion↓Deteriorating
- High Quality Franchise→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Check Point Software Technologi (CHKP) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Wait for pullback to $120.22. BUY gates pass at $137.10, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and weak growth argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $120.22 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions.... Read more
Wait for pullback to $120.22. BUY gates pass at $137.10, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and weak growth argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $120.22 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(6), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-19Recent Developments — Check Point Software Technologi
Latest news
- NEWS Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:CHKP) Given Consensus Rating of "Hold" by Brokerages - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is It Time To Revisit Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) After A 33% One-Year Share Price Fall - Sahm — Sahm negative
- NEWS Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP) Shares Fall 3.4% -- What GF Score of 82 Tells Investors - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Software Check Point Software Drops on Analyst Downgrade - TradingPedia — TradingPedia negative
- NEWS Check Point Software downgraded at Raymond James as firm says business not improving (CHKP:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
Generated 2026-07-20T05:32:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $120.22. BUY gates pass at $137.10, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and weak growth argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $120.22 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $139.26 (+1.6%), stop $109.53 (−25.2%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $139.26 (-1.0% upside). Target $139.26 (+1.6%), stop $109.53 (−25.2%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $109.53.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Check Point Software Technologi trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
45 analysts cover CHKP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $148.
What does Check Point Software Technologi do?Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security...
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets, and supports a range of products and services for IT security worldwide. It provides a multilevel security architecture that defends enterprises' cloud, network, mobile devices, endpoints information, and IOT solutions. The company offers Mesh Network Security, which comprises Firewall, Maestro Hyperscale Firewall, Firewall Software R82.10, Spark Firewall, and AI Powered Security Management for hybrid cloud, internet and perimeter gateways, and branch locations. It also provides Workspace Security Platform, including email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR security solutions across devices, browsers, SaaS apps, and remote access. In addition, the company offers Threat Exposure Management platforms comprising threat intelligence, vulnerability detection and prioritization, and safe remediation. Further, it offers AI Security platforms comprising workforce and agent security, and red teaming solutions. Additionally, the company offers cyber security services, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting and managed, security consulting, professional, and training services. The company also provides technical customer support programs and plans; professional services in implementing, upgrading, and optimizing its products comprising design planning and security implementation; and certification and educational training services on its products. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.