Caseys General Stores, Inc. (CASY) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $812.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away).
Casey's General Stores operates 2,904 convenience stores in 20 states, with a majority in the Midwest and a significant expansion into Texas after the 2024 Fikes acquisition. Revenue is primarily from fuel retail and in-store products including prepared food, tobacco, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $812.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWProducttobacco and nicotine products9.0%10-K Item 1A: 'Sales of tobacco and nicotine products have averaged approximately 9% of our total revenue over the past three fiscal years'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $812.08 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $777.40. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $797.96 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $777.40. Stop-loss: $777.40.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.7% away); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.
Caseys General Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.9 (forward 39.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover CASY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $753.
What does Caseys General Stores, Inc. do?Casey's General Stores operates 2,904 convenience stores in 20 states, with a majority in the Midwest and a significant...
Casey's General Stores operates 2,904 convenience stores in 20 states, with a majority in the Midwest and a significant expansion into Texas after the 2024 Fikes acquisition. Revenue is primarily from fuel retail and in-store products including prepared food, tobacco, and beverages.