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Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.76: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Carrier Global is a global provider of heating, cooling, and cold chain solutions with $21.7 billion in net sales in 2025, operating across four segments: Climate Solutions Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific/Middle East/Africa, and Transportation. Brands include Carrier, Viessmann,... Read more

$66.76-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#17 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
Stop $61.51Target $64.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$70.95+6.3%23 analysts
$64.90our TP
$66.76price
$70.95mean
$55
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.76: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Material insider selling (26 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$51.6B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth-6.0%
Beta1.32
Dividend1.55%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 52% of our net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025, are derived from international operations, including U.S. export sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.0
Declining revenue: -6%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
4.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.5
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.8
Gross Margin
1.2
Roa
2.4
Piotroski F
3.3
Net Margin
3.4
Roe
3.6
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
5.2
Earnings quality warning: 68% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $54.65Resistance $66.22

Price Targets

$62
$65
A.Upside-2.8%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Material insider selling (26 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CARR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.76: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $61.51. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CARR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.90 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $61.51. Stop-loss: $61.51.

What are the risks of investing in CARR?

Target reached (-3.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Material insider selling (26 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is CARR overvalued or undervalued?

Carrier Global Corporation trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CARR?

31 analysts cover CARR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Carrier Global Corporation do?Carrier Global is a global provider of heating, cooling, and cold chain solutions with $21.7 billion in net sales in...

Carrier Global is a global provider of heating, cooling, and cold chain solutions with $21.7 billion in net sales in 2025, operating across four segments: Climate Solutions Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific/Middle East/Africa, and Transportation. Brands include Carrier, Viessmann, Toshiba, and Automated Logic.

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