Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5.
Burlington Stores is a nationally recognized off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores in 46 states, DC, and Puerto Rico as of January 31, 2026, selling branded merchandise at up to 60% off other retailers' prices. Over 99% of net sales derive from Burlington-branded stores; the... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.06 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $306.05. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $322.33 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $306.05. Stop-loss: $306.05.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Burlington Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover BURL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $371.
What does Burlington Stores, Inc. do?Burlington Stores is a nationally recognized off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores in 46 states, DC, and Puerto...
Burlington Stores is a nationally recognized off-price retailer operating 1,212 stores in 46 states, DC, and Puerto Rico as of January 31, 2026, selling branded merchandise at up to 60% off other retailers' prices. Over 99% of net sales derive from Burlington-branded stores; the company targets a diverse customer base with a geographically distributed store footprint.