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BOBSBob's Discount Furniture, Inc.Sell5.7·$13.90+0.00%
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Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. (BOBS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.90: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.

Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms across 26 U.S. states, selling value-priced home furnishings without promotional pricing through an omnichannel model. Revenue comes from transactional furniture sales with delivery enabled by six distribution centers and 48... Read more

$13.90+36.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $12.93Target $18.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$21.77+56.6%13 analysts
$18.94our TP
$13.90price
$21.77mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.90: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.

About Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.

Bob's Discount Furniture operated 209 showrooms in 26 states as of December 28, 2025, targeting an everyday-low-price position in the highly fragmented U.S. home furnishings market. The omnichannel model integrates stores, website, mobile app, and phone with unified inventory, and new stores target average unit volumes of approximately $9 million and cash-on-cash returns exceeding 80% within five years. Six company-owned distribution centers and 48 third-party regional depots support delivery in as few as three days.

Bob's earns revenue from transactional furniture sales without promotions or sale events, serving a broad demographic from budget-conscious families to higher-income households. Every retail store, distribution center, and corporate office is leased under operating and finance leases with initial terms of 10 to 15 years and renewal options. The merchandise model is approximately one-third narrower by SKU count than value-oriented competitors, concentrating purchasing volume on high-velocity items to extract favorable pricing from suppliers. Primary sourcing originates in Vietnam (63% of product cost volume) and the United States (28%), with smaller volumes from Thailand, Malaysia, and Cambodia; the company holds no long-term supply contracts, transacting order-by-order. Imported finished goods represented approximately 76% of consolidated net revenues in fiscal 2025, exposing the company to tariff changes, freight rate volatility, and logistics disruptions.

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The lease obligation structure presents a long-run cost headwind. Many of Bob's agreements carry escalating rent provisions over initial terms and renewals, which may progressively increase occupancy costs as the company plans to expand its store base to more than 500 locations by 2035. The 10-K notes that substantial lease obligations may require a greater portion of available cash for rent payments, limit financing flexibility, and place the company at a disadvantage versus online-only rivals who carry no lease burden.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

From Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: imported finished goods (76.0%)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$25+79.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam
    10-K Item 1A: 'our primary sourcing markets are Vietnam and the United States, representing approximately 63% and 28% of our product cost volume, respectively'
  • HIGHSupplierimported finished goods76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Imported finished goods represent approximately 76% of our consolidated net revenues for fiscal year 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
1.8
Support Resistance
2.6
GatesMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $11.25Resistance $14.85

Price Targets

$13
$19
A.Upside+36.3%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.90: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.93. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.94 (+36.3% upside). Prior stop was $12.93. Stop-loss: $12.93.

What are the risks of investing in BOBS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: imported finished goods (76.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is BOBS overvalued or undervalued?

Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOBS?

19 analysts cover BOBS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. do?Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms across 26 U.S. states, selling value-priced home furnishings without...

Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms across 26 U.S. states, selling value-priced home furnishings without promotional pricing through an omnichannel model. Revenue comes from transactional furniture sales with delivery enabled by six distribution centers and 48 third-party depots; imported finished goods represented approximately 76% of net revenues in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BBWI (Bath & Body Works, Inc.) · EYE (National Vision Holdings, Inc.) · MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.)
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