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Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. (BOBS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality.

Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms in 26 US states, selling value-priced home furnishings through an omnichannel model with everyday-low pricing and no reliance on promotions. Imported finished goods represent ~76% of consolidated net revenues for fiscal 2025,... Read more

$11.57+63.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $10.76Target $18.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$21.77+88.2%13 analysts
$18.94our TP
$11.57price
$21.77mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam (63.0%)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$10-13.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierVietnam63%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our primary sourcing markets are Vietnam and the United States, representing approximately 63% and 28% of our product cost volume'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.3
Days To Cover
3.6
Put Call
4.4
High short interest: 24%High IV: 101%Above max pain $10Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
8.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $9.73Resistance $13.65

Price Targets

$11
$19
A.Upside+63.7%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.76. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.94 (+63.7% upside). Prior stop was $10.76. Stop-loss: $10.76.

What are the risks of investing in BOBS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam (63.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is BOBS overvalued or undervalued?

Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOBS?

19 analysts cover BOBS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. do?Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms in 26 US states, selling value-priced home furnishings through an...

Bob's Discount Furniture operates 209 showrooms in 26 US states, selling value-priced home furnishings through an omnichannel model with everyday-low pricing and no reliance on promotions. Imported finished goods represent ~76% of consolidated net revenues for fiscal 2025, sourced primarily from Vietnam (~63% of product cost) and the US (~28%). Six distribution centers and 48 third-party depots support delivery-within-days fulfillment.

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