Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.30: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.
Brookdale Senior Living is the largest U.S. operator of senior living communities, operating and managing 584 communities in 41 states with ~51,000 resident capacity across independent living, assisted living/memory care, and CCRC segments. 2025 resident fee and management fee... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.30: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
Latest news
- Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- Brookdale Senior Living Q1 EPS $(0.03), Inline, Sales $764.856M Miss $769.639M Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 negative
- Stephens & Co. Initiates Coverage On Brookdale Senior Living with Overweight Rating, Announces Price Target of $18 — benzinga Apr 9, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerprivate pay residents94%10-K Item 1: 'we generated 93.9% of our consolidated resident fee revenue from private pay residents'
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Florida, and Texas10-K Item 1A: 'We have a high concentration of communities in various geographic areas, including the states of California, Florida, and Texas'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOWDr. Jordan R. Asher notified Brookdale he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Decision not due to any disagreement with Company, Board, or management. He will serve until his term expires at the 2026 Annual Meeting.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.30: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.35. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.62 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.35. Stop-loss: $12.35.
Concentration risk — Customer: private pay residents (93.9%); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).
Brookdale Senior Living Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 379.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover BKD with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Brookdale Senior Living Inc. do?Brookdale Senior Living is the largest U.S. operator of senior living communities, operating and managing 584...
Brookdale Senior Living is the largest U.S. operator of senior living communities, operating and managing 584 communities in 41 states with ~51,000 resident capacity across independent living, assisted living/memory care, and CCRC segments. 2025 resident fee and management fee revenue was $3.05B; 93.9% came from private-pay sources.