Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.15: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.
Brookdale Senior Living is the nation's largest operator of senior living communities, with 584 communities in 41 states serving approximately 51,000 residents across independent living, assisted living, memory care, and CCRCs. Owns 370 communities, leases 178, and manages 36.
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.15: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Florida, and Texas10-K Item 1A: 'We have a high concentration of communities in various geographic areas, including the states of California, Florida, and Texas.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOWDr. Jordan R. Asher (board member) will not stand for re-election at the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. Decision not due to any disagreement with the Company, Board, or management. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.15: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.47. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.62 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.47. Stop-loss: $13.47.
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).
Brookdale Senior Living Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -352.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover BKD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Brookdale Senior Living Inc. do?Brookdale Senior Living is the nation's largest operator of senior living communities, with 584 communities in 41...
Brookdale Senior Living is the nation's largest operator of senior living communities, with 584 communities in 41 states serving approximately 51,000 residents across independent living, assisted living, memory care, and CCRCs. Owns 370 communities, leases 178, and manages 36.