Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BFS stock price target?

Take-profit $36.98 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.73.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BFS?

Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d.

Q: Is BFS overvalued or undervalued?

Saul Centers, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BFS?

6 analysts cover BFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.01: Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

$34.01+8.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 23 REIT - Retail

Stop $32.73Target $36.98(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1

Analyst target$43.50+27.9%2 analysts

$36.98our TP

$34.01price

$43.50mean

$47

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.01: Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Thin upside margin: 8.7%

Near 52-week high (4.9% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.3

P/E (Fwd)25.1

Mkt Cap$1.2B

EV/EBITDA15.9

Profit Mgn12.9%

ROE10.1%

Rev Growth10.6%

Beta0.94

Dividend6.92%

Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.915%0.89

Quality6.215%0.93

Growth6.115%0.91

Momentum4.510%0.45

Sentiment6.110%0.61

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.110%0.51

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst4.05%0.20

Overall (Σ contributions)5.58

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

59 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.00Resistance $34.81

Price Targets

$33

$37

A.Upside+8.7%

A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $34.01: Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $32.73. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the BFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.98 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.73. Stop-loss: $32.73.

What are the risks of investing in BFS?

Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Is BFS overvalued or undervalued?

Saul Centers, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BFS?

6 analysts cover BFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Saul Centers, Inc. do?Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which...

Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio of 62 properties which includes (a) 59 community and neighborhood shopping centers and mixed-use properties with approximately 10.5 million square feet of leasable area and (b) three land and development properties. Over 85% of the Saul Centers' property operating income is generated by properties in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area. Saul Centers, Inc. was established on June 10, 1993 and incorporated in Maryland, USA.