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Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.26 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland-based equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in high-barrier U.S. metropolitan markets (SoHo, Georgetown, Chicago Gold Coast), with a dual-platform REIT Portfolio and institutional co-investment strategy. Revenue is... Read more

$21.26+2.6% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#22 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.09%
IncomeYield3.83%(5y avg 3.76%)Payout258.06%
Stop $20.50Target $21.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$23.43+10.2%7 analysts
$21.82our TP
$21.26price
$23.43mean
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.26 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Acadia Realty Trust

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.5
P/E (Fwd)76.0
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta1.13
Dividend3.83%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
2.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.1
P Ocf
6.3
P/OCF: 17.6x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.65Resistance $22.27

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.26 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $20.50. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the AKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.82 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $20.50. Stop-loss: $20.50.

What are the risks of investing in AKR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is AKR overvalued or undervalued?

Acadia Realty Trust trades at a P/E of 67.5 (forward 76.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AKR?

12 analysts cover AKR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Acadia Realty Trust do?Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland-based equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in high-barrier...

Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland-based equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in high-barrier U.S. metropolitan markets (SoHo, Georgetown, Chicago Gold Coast), with a dual-platform REIT Portfolio and institutional co-investment strategy. Revenue is primarily rental income from ~228 properties totaling ~4 million square feet of GLA at 95.6% occupancy as of December 31, 2025.

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