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Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.56 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in high-barrier-to-entry, densely populated U.S. metropolitan markets. With 228 properties, revenue comes primarily from rental income at its REIT Portfolio and institutional... Read more

$21.560.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#20 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $20.70Target $21.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$23.00+6.7%7 analysts
$21.56our TP
$21.56price
$23.00mean
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.56 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.8
P/E (Fwd)80.2
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta1.13
Dividend3.77%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV95%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
    Joseph Napolitano notified Acadia Realty Trust of intention to retire as SVP and Chief Administrative Officer effective on or about April 1, 2026. No successor CAO will be appointed; responsibilities reallocated to other management. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.0
P Ocf
5.9
P/OCF: 18.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.02Resistance $22.00

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.56 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $20.70. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.56 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $20.70. Stop-loss: $20.70.

What are the risks of investing in AKR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is AKR overvalued or undervalued?

Acadia Realty Trust trades at a P/E of 69.8 (forward 80.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AKR?

12 analysts cover AKR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Acadia Realty Trust do?Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in...

Acadia Realty Trust is a Maryland equity REIT focused on street and open-air retail properties in high-barrier-to-entry, densely populated U.S. metropolitan markets. With 228 properties, revenue comes primarily from rental income at its REIT Portfolio and institutional co-investment platform.

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