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NTSTNetSTREIT Corp.Hold6.6·$18.64
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NetSTREIT is the industry growth leader in retail REITs with 24% revenue growth and an elite Rule of 40 score of 93, exceptional cash conversion at 1000% of net income, but faces extremely high short interest of 35%, a low asymmetry ratio, and its analyst target has essentially been reached, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Rule Of 40 Growth Leader→Stable
  • Very High Short Interest↓Deteriorating
  • Price At Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NetSTREIT Corp. (NTST) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28 retail sectors in 45 states, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent at 99.9% occupancy and a 10.1-year weighted average lease term as of December 31,... Read more

$18.64+2.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.20%
IncomeYield4.83%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout419.05%
Stop $17.66Analyst target $19.13(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$21.25+14.0%19 analysts with price targets
$19.13Analyst target
$18.64price
$21.25mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NetSTREIT Corp.

About NetSTREIT Corp.

NetSTREIT owned 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased across 45 states to 129 tenants spanning 28 retail sectors, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025. The portfolio was 99.9% occupied with a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.1 years, and roughly 44% of ABR came from investment-grade credit rated tenants and an additional 14% from tenants with an investment-grade profile.

NetSTREIT's net-lease model requires tenants to maintain property insurance and liability coverage under triple-net or double-net structures. The company targets acquisition prices of $1 million to $10 million per property — averaging $3.7 million as of December 31, 2025 — a segment it believes attracts less competition from institutional buyers requiring larger asset sizes. Capital is deployed through five transaction types: stabilized lease acquisitions, blend-and-extend deals, mortgage loans, build-to-suit, and sale-leaseback transactions. Long-term leases carry initial 10-year terms with two or more five-year extension options. In 2025, NetSTREIT acquired 140 properties in 31 states for $603 million and sold 78 properties for $169.1 million specifically to improve portfolio diversification. The top five tenants — CVS, Dollar General, Food Lion/Stop & Shop, Home Depot, and Hobby Lobby — represent 4.8%, 4.7%, 4.3%, 3.8%, and 3.6% of ABR respectively, each well below the company's 5% single-tenant cap. Capital structure included approximately $1.1 billion across six senior unsecured term loans and a $500 million revolving credit facility.

Show full overview

Texas represents 17.3% of ABR as of year-end 2025, the single largest state concentration in the NetSTREIT portfolio. The South and Midwest U.S. Census Bureau regions account for 49.5% and 28.0% of ABR respectively. The 10-K notes that economic downturns, changes in state-specific tax or labor laws, or natural disasters in any concentrated region could adversely affect operating performance, and that future acquisitions could further increase these regional concentrations beyond current levels.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From NetSTREIT Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — NetSTREIT Corp.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)88.8
P/E (Fwd)33.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth37.2%
Beta0.79
Dividend4.83%
Analysts with ratings25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.86bearish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicTexas17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio included substantial holdings in Texas (17.3%), Illinois (8.3%), New York (6.9%), Georgia (5.0%), Wisconsin (4.9%), and North Carolina (4.0%) based on ABR as of December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth region50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMidwest region28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
6.8
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.18Resistance $18.68

Price Targets

$18
$19
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $19.13 (+2.6%), stop $17.66 (−5.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTST stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.13 (+2.6% upside). Analyst target $19.13 (+2.6%), stop $17.66 (−5.5%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $17.66.

What are the risks of investing in NTST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is NTST overvalued or undervalued?

NetSTREIT Corp. trades at a P/E of 88.8 (forward 33.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTST?

25 analysts rate NTST, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 19 analysts publish price targets averaging $21.

What does NetSTREIT Corp. do?NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28...

NetSTREIT acquires and manages 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties net-leased to 129 tenants across 28 retail sectors in 45 states, generating $198.3 million in annualized base rent at 99.9% occupancy and a 10.1-year weighted average lease term as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from long-term net leases with approximately 44% of ABR from investment-grade tenants.

Related stocks: ALX (Alexander's, Inc.) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation)
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