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NetSTREIT Corp. (NTST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-tenant commercial retail.

NetSTREIT Corp is a net-lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties across 45 states, with 129 tenants and ABR of $198.3M as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from long-term NNN leases with tenants in defensive retail sectors (grocers, convenience,... Read more

$20.50+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#11 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.06%
IncomeYield4.31%(5y avg 4.43%)Payout716.67%
Stop $19.72Target $20.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$22.51+9.8%19 analysts
$20.76our TP
$20.50price
$22.51mean
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-tenant commercial retail. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — NetSTREIT Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: single-tenant commercial retail
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)170.3
P/E (Fwd)49.9
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE0.8%
Rev Growth24.3%
Beta0.85
Dividend4.31%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas (17.3% of ABR)17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio included substantial holdings in Texas (17.3%), Illinois (8.3%), New York (6.9%), Georgia (5.0%), Wisconsin (4.9%), and North Carolina (4.0%) based on ABR as of December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth region (49.5% of ABR)50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'
  • HIGHPropertysingle-tenant commercial retail
    10-K Item 1: 'acquires, owns, and manages a diversified portfolio of single-tenant commercial retail properties, subject to long-term net leases'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.3
Ps
3.7
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.3
P/OCF: 17.6x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Macd
3.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
9.1
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.98Resistance $21.18

Price Targets

$20
$21
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-tenant commercial retail. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.72. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.76 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $19.72. Stop-loss: $19.72.

What are the risks of investing in NTST?

Concentration risk — Property Type: single-tenant commercial retail; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is NTST overvalued or undervalued?

NetSTREIT Corp. trades at a P/E of 170.3 (forward 49.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTST?

26 analysts cover NTST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does NetSTREIT Corp. do?NetSTREIT Corp is a net-lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties across 45 states, with 129...

NetSTREIT Corp is a net-lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties across 45 states, with 129 tenants and ABR of $198.3M as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from long-term NNN leases with tenants in defensive retail sectors (grocers, convenience, discount, home improvement, QSR). Portfolio was 99.9% occupied with a 10.1-year weighted average lease term.

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