NetSTREIT Corp. (NTST) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Retail
Sell if holding. At $20.63, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 56% of NOI from unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (55.7%).
NetSTREIT is an internally managed net lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties in 45 states with $198.3M ABR. It targets necessity retail tenants such as grocers, convenience stores, discount stores, and auto parts retailers. Portfolio was 99.9% occupied... Read more
Sell if holding. At $20.63, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 56% of NOI from unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (55.7%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and reit tenant cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWGeographicTexas17%10-K Item 1A: 'substantial holdings in Texas (17.3%), Illinois (8.3%), New York (6.9%), Georgia (5.0%), Wisconsin (4.9%), and North Carolina (4.0%) based on ABR as of December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicSouth and Midwest regions50%10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our portfolio holdings (based on ABR as of December 31, 2025) were located in the South (49.5%) and Midwest (28.0%) regions of the United States'
- HIGHTenantunrated or sub-investment-grade tenants56%10-K Item 1A: '55.7% of our properties were leased to unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $20.63, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 56% of NOI from unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (55.7%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.81. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $20.76 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $19.81. Stop-loss: $19.81.
REIT tenant concentration cliff: 56% of NOI from unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: unrated or sub-investment-grade tenants (55.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
NetSTREIT Corp. trades at a P/E of 171.4 (forward 50.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover NTST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.
What does NetSTREIT Corp. do?NetSTREIT is an internally managed net lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties in 45 states...
NetSTREIT is an internally managed net lease REIT owning 761 single-tenant commercial retail properties in 45 states with $198.3M ABR. It targets necessity retail tenants such as grocers, convenience stores, discount stores, and auto parts retailers. Portfolio was 99.9% occupied with a 10.1-year weighted average lease term at Dec 31, 2025.