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Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: petroleum marketing industry.

Getty Realty is a net-lease REIT owning 1,174 single-tenant retail properties (convenience stores, car washes, automotive service) in 44 states. Revenue comes from triple-net lease rents; no single retail tenant exceeds 2.6% of ABR across the diversified tenant base.

$33.15+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $31.75Target $34.05(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$34.29+3.4%7 analysts
$34.05our TP
$33.15price
$34.29mean
$37

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: petroleum marketing industry. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: petroleum marketing industry
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn40.1%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.84
Dividend5.91%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas and New York32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 32.0% of our annualized base rent ("ABR") came from properties located in the states of Texas and New York'
  • HIGHTenantpetroleum marketing industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'significant portion of our revenues depend on the economic success of the petroleum marketing industry'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.3
Ev Ebitda
4.4
P Ocf
7.0
P/OCF: 15.0x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.07Resistance $34.75

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.15 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: petroleum marketing industry. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.75. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.05 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $31.75. Stop-loss: $31.75.

What are the risks of investing in GTY?

Concentration risk — Tenant: petroleum marketing industry; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Is GTY overvalued or undervalued?

Getty Realty Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTY?

12 analysts cover GTY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Getty Realty Corporation do?Getty Realty is a net-lease REIT owning 1,174 single-tenant retail properties (convenience stores, car washes,...

Getty Realty is a net-lease REIT owning 1,174 single-tenant retail properties (convenience stores, car washes, automotive service) in 44 states. Revenue comes from triple-net lease rents; no single retail tenant exceeds 2.6% of ABR across the diversified tenant base.

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