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GTYGetty Realty CorporationSell5.8·$28.04
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Getty Realty is a high-quality real estate business — Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9, free cash flow at 136% of net income, and strong margins at 40% — with a consistent earnings delivery record; the setup is uninvestable today because the stock has traded to within a fraction of its target and the reward-to-risk geometry has turned negative, but the quality profile warrants watching for a better entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash Flow Profile→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Delivery↓Deteriorating
  • Near Term Upside Exhausted↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. At $28.04, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Getty Realty Corp. owns 1,174 single-tenant net-lease properties across 44 states, focused on convenience stores, car washes, automotive service centers, and drive-thru quick-service restaurants. Triple-net leases with a 9.9-year weighted average remaining term generate rental... Read more

$28.04+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.68%
IncomeYield7.13%(5y avg 5.78%)Payout118.29%
Stop $26.78Analyst target $29.46(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$33.86+20.7%7 analysts
$29.46Analyst target
$28.04price
$33.86mean
$37

Sell if holding. At $28.04, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Getty Realty Corporation

About Getty Realty Corporation

Getty Realty Corp.'s 1,174 properties across 44 states and Washington, D.C. were leased almost entirely on triple-net terms at December 31, 2025, with a weighted average remaining lease term of 9.9 years and approximately 32% of annualized base rent sourced from Texas and New York. During 2025, the company invested $273.0 million adding 28 drive-thru quick-service restaurants, 24 convenience stores, 15 automotive service centers, and 9 express tunnel car washes.

Getty earns revenue through triple-net leases where tenants bear all taxes, maintenance, insurance, and environmental obligations. The 62 master and unitary leases governing 962 properties generally carry 15- or 20-year initial terms with periodic rent escalations; 207 properties are covered by individual triple-net leases. A significant portion of revenues depends on the petroleum marketing industry—specifically convenience store operators and petroleum distributors who manage gasoline sales—which is highly competitive and volatile, with petroleum product prices subject to global supply-and-demand factors beyond the company's control. In January 2026, Getty issued $250 million of senior unsecured notes at a fixed rate of 5.76% due 2036, using proceeds to repay amounts under its credit facility. Competing capital sources include petroleum manufacturing companies, other REITs, and private investment funds.

Show full overview

The petroleum marketing industry's secular headwinds—potential growth in EV adoption and regulatory pressure on greenhouse gas emissions—may impair tenant revenue and lease coverage ratios, which could weigh on rent collections. This exposure is compounded by the fact that most tenants are unrated and do not publicly disclose financial information, limiting the company's ability to assess credit deterioration before a default occurs. If a material number of tenants in a concentrated geography experience financial distress simultaneously, the impact on cash flow from operations could be significant.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Getty Realty Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.0%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn42.4%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta0.75
Dividend7.13%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas and New York32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 32.0% of our annualized base rent ("ABR") came from properties located in the states of Texas and New York'
  • MEDIUMPropertyconvenience and gasoline station properties
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive significant portion of our revenues from leasing...convenience store and gasoline station properties to tenants in the petroleum marketing industry'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.9
Revenue Growth
5.8
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.29Resistance $28.76

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $28.04, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.78. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTY stock price target?

Analyst target: $29.46 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $26.78. Stop-loss: $26.78.

What are the risks of investing in GTY?

Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GTY overvalued or undervalued?

Getty Realty Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTY?

13 analysts cover GTY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Getty Realty Corporation do?Getty Realty Corp. owns 1,174 single-tenant net-lease properties across 44 states, focused on convenience stores, car...

Getty Realty Corp. owns 1,174 single-tenant net-lease properties across 44 states, focused on convenience stores, car washes, automotive service centers, and drive-thru quick-service restaurants. Triple-net leases with a 9.9-year weighted average remaining term generate rental income from petroleum distributors and convenience store operators. The company invested $273.0 million in properties during 2025.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · AKR (Acadia Realty Trust)
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