Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Academy Sports and Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a regional focus on the southern U.S. Revenue comes from store and digital sales across outdoor (31%), apparel (27%),... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierChina10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the merchandise that we sell...is manufactured in countries such as China, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Brazil.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $51.54. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $59.55 (+8.0% upside). Prior stop was $51.54. Stop-loss: $51.54.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, In trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover ASO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $61.
What does Academy Sports and Outdoors, In do?Academy Sports and Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer operating 322 stores in 21...
Academy Sports and Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a regional focus on the southern U.S. Revenue comes from store and digital sales across outdoor (31%), apparel (27%), sports and recreation (22%), and footwear (20%) categories; no single vendor exceeds 12% of total purchases.