Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. At $49.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a primary regional focus in the southern United States including 117 stores in Texas. It generated $6.05 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025... Read more
Sell if holding. At $49.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Academy Sports and Outdoors, In
Latest news
- ASO: Wells Fargo Raises Price Target for Academy Sports | ASO St - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Academy Sports and Outdoors (NASDAQ:ASO) Given New $56.00 Price Target at Wells Fargo & Company - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- ASO Stock Update: Barclays Raises Price Target for Academy Sport - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Barclays Issues Positive Forecast for Academy Sports and Outdoors (NASDAQ:ASO) Stock Price - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- Wells Fargo raises Academy Sports stock price target on growth strategy - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $49.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $47.29. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $55.28 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $47.29. Stop-loss: $47.29.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Academy Sports and Outdoors, In trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover ASO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $61.
What does Academy Sports and Outdoors, In do?Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January...
Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a primary regional focus in the southern United States including 117 stores in Texas. It generated $6.05 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025 across outdoor, sports/recreation, apparel, and footwear; no vendor or brand exceeds 12% of purchases or sales.