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ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, InBuy Wait5.3·$52.50+1.45%
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Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Earnings in 0 days (2026-06-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $49.64. At $52.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $49.64 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a primary regional focus in the southern United States including 117 stores in Texas. It generated $6.05 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025... Read more

$52.50+11.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#11 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.72%
IncomeYield1.16%Payout9.39%sustainable
Entry $49.64(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $45.59Target $55.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$61.42+17.0%19 analysts
$55.28our TP
$52.50price
$61.42mean
$78

Wait for pullback to $49.64. At $52.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $49.64 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jun 9, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.16%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$30-42.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
3.1
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.31Resistance $55.66

Price Targets

$46
$50
$55
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-09 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $49.64. At $52.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $49.64 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $55.28 (+5.3%), stop $45.59 (−15.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the ASO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.28 (+11.3% upside). Target $55.28 (+5.3%), stop $45.59 (−15.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $45.59.

What are the risks of investing in ASO?

Thin upside margin: 7.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ASO overvalued or undervalued?

Academy Sports and Outdoors, In trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASO?

23 analysts cover ASO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Academy Sports and Outdoors, In do?Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January...

Academy Sports + Outdoors is a full-line sporting goods retailer operating 322 stores in 21 U.S. states as of January 31, 2026, with a primary regional focus in the southern United States including 117 stores in Texas. It generated $6.05 billion in net sales in fiscal 2025 across outdoor, sports/recreation, apparel, and footwear; no vendor or brand exceeds 12% of purchases or sales.

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